NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	3.9 [1032]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +10.2%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.1 [863]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -18.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	63%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	16	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	60%	0.07	4	-0.07	10	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	14	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	13	63%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	4	111%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	15	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	44%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	-0.03	14	24%	-0.11	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.8	31.0	19.6	29.5	3.5	28.8	143.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.0%

HOU +10.5%

HOU +7.7%

GSW -7.8%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	13.3	15.5	113.3	103.8	106.4
season	16.3	13.8		105.9	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.2		111.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.1	13.6	13.7	16.6	14.3
GSW	13.6	15.2	14.0	10.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-7	25	13.7	15.2	-1.44	14.1	11.7	2.37
Tracy McGrady	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	0	11	14.5	13.6	0.95	13.8	12.1	1.64
Yao Ming	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	1	9	14.4	14.0	0.46	13.4	13.2	0.15
Luther Head	19	19	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	-2	15	12.7	14.6	-1.92	15.4	12.8	2.53
Rafer Alston	87	86	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	7	-3	14.2	14.4	-0.23	12.8	15.7	-2.86
Luis Scola	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	7	-3	14.3	14.2	0.12	12.8	13.8	-1.01
Carl Landry	51	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	5	1	14.3	14.2	0.11	13.9	12.8	1.10
Aaron Brooks	54	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	13	-15	15.1	13.3	1.83	12.1	14.5	-2.37
Von Wafer	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	13	-15	13.5	14.7	-1.26	13.3	13.3	0.06
Charles Hayes	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	18	-25	15.1	14.1	1.02	10.9	13.7	-2.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-18	25	10.6	14.0	-3.43	16.1	13.8	2.38
Rob Kurz	32	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-17	23	11.2	14.2	-3.09	16.1	13.3	2.79
Anthony Randolph	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-14	17	12.0	14.7	-2.66	14.4	14.1	0.39
Anthony Morrow	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-11	11	12.9	13.8	-0.89	14.6	13.9	0.74
Kelenna Azubuike	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-3	-5	13.7	13.0	0.69	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Marco Belinelli	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-8	5	12.5	14.5	-2.06	15.2	12.7	2.50
Andris Biedrins	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	2	-15	14.6	11.8	2.76	13.3	15.3	-1.94
Jamal Crawford	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	3	-17	14.2	12.2	2.02	13.4	15.3	-1.91
CJ Watson	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	4	-19	14.2	11.5	2.77	13.3	16.0	-2.65
Stephen Jackson	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	7	-25	14.3	11.5	2.77	13.9	14.9	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 116, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NJN 81, CHH 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.1%
MIA 108, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%