NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	5.5 [726]		MVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): +15.6%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	1.0 [862]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -13.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	60%	0.15	4	-0.13	9	89%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	11	35%	-0.07	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	9	75%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.04	7	75%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.08	0.04	9	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	4	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	23	38%	-0.07	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	33.5	15.5	23.5	2.5	29.2	131.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +22.4%

GSW +12.7%

GSW +8.4%

GSW +7.6%

MIL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	15.5	96.0	117.8	106.4
season	15.0	13.8		104.9	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.6		111.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	14.4	15.0	14.2	14.9
GSW	14.0	13.3	13.8	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-25	27	9.6	15.2	-5.58	18.3	13.5	4.86
Tyronn Lue	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-18	13	14.1	15.2	-1.05	14.3	13.5	0.77
Charlie Villanueva	70	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	-15	7	14.5	15.8	-1.29	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Joe Alexander	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-16	9	14.8	14.9	-0.16	15.6	13.3	2.28
Andrew Bogut	58	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-16	9	15.8	13.7	2.04	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Luc Mbah a Moute	54	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-5	-13	15.0	14.7	0.30	14.1	13.4	0.66
Ramon Sessions	42	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-5	-13	14.0	15.5	-1.47	14.3	13.4	0.89
Luke Ridnour	56	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-11	-1	15.1	14.7	0.43	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Michael Redd	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.14	-21	-2	-19	15.2	13.6	1.57	13.5	15.0	-1.51
Richard Jefferson	83	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	-2	-19	15.2	13.6	1.58	13.2	16.3	-3.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	77	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.17	24	-1	25	13.7	13.8	-0.09	15.0	14.5	0.56
Stephen Jackson	87	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.17	24	-1	25	13.5	15.2	-1.69	15.2	13.1	2.04
Kelenna Azubuike	51	49	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	2	19	13.3	14.2	-0.87	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Marco Belinelli	46	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.17	17	6	11	13.1	14.3	-1.16	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Ronny Turiaf	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	3	17	13.0	14.5	-1.52	14.6	15.2	-0.53
Jamal Crawford	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	17	-11	14.0	13.4	0.66	15.3	14.2	1.09
Andris Biedrins	54	56	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	20	-17	14.1	13.4	0.75	15.8	13.7	2.09
Anthony Morrow	60	60	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	23	-23	14.1	13.2	0.91	15.4	14.2	1.21
Anthony Randolph	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	21	-19	15.8	13.5	2.39	13.1	15.2	-2.04
Rob Kurz	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	18.3	13.5	4.86	9.6	15.2	-5.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 103, PHX 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NOH 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%