NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	103		Excitement	5.9 [652]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +33.6%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	1.0 [765]		LVP	Miles Plumlee (PHX): -7.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Randolph	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	9	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	18	47%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.04	0.03	11	71%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	14	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Quincy Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	11	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Kenneth Faried	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.09	0.01	16	88%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	55%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.03	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	48%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	2.6	32.0	15.6	25.2	1.8	27.3	134.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.2%

PHX +4.8%

PHX +2.1%

PHX +6.5%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	13.1	16.5	15.1	104.0	121.9	105.2
season	14.0	14.7		104.5	107.7
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.9	11.5	16.1	12.0	13.1
PHX	15.4	15.6	16.6	18.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Miller	10	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-12	10	13.3	13.0	0.27	17.9	16.4	1.50
Evan Fournier	69	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-18	22	13.1	13.0	0.13	16.4	16.8	-0.45
JJ Hickson	79	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-10	6	13.0	13.4	-0.49	16.2	18.0	-1.83
Anthony Randolph	49	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-10	6	11.6	14.5	-2.99	16.5	16.6	-0.12
Timofey Mozgov	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-11	8	13.0	13.2	-0.21	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Kenneth Faried	23	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	2	-18	16.5	12.0	4.45	18.4	16.0	2.43
Nate Robinson	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	1	-16	12.2	13.9	-1.78	17.6	15.4	2.21
Wilson Chandler	81	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	0	-14	13.5	11.1	2.45	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Ty Lawson	84	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	13.2	12.3	0.86	16.2	18.1	-1.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-1	16	16.7	16.2	0.49	12.3	14.1	-1.88
Leandro Barbosa	55	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	2	10	16.7	16.3	0.42	12.2	14.2	-2.00
Alex Len	33	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-2	18	17.8	15.9	1.96	11.5	13.9	-2.33
Ish Smith	45	48	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	8	-2	17.7	15.5	2.14	12.4	13.7	-1.29
Goran Dragic	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	3	8	15.4	17.7	-2.25	13.9	12.2	1.62
Marcus Morris	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	8	-2	18.4	15.4	3.05	12.2	13.6	-1.39
PJ Tucker	59	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	6	2	15.4	18.4	-3.05	13.6	12.2	1.39
Channing Frye	53	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	16	-18	16.3	16.8	-0.55	14.0	11.8	2.21
Miles Plumlee	48	50	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	15	-16	15.7	17.4	-1.69	13.9	12.2	1.78
Gerald Green	43	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	15	-16	16.4	16.7	-0.29	14.0	12.3	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 79, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.7%
DEN 75, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%