NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	9.5 [90]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +25.4%
Miami Heat	100		Comeback	4.7 [305]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -21.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Morrison	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	8	81%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.12	-0.04	0.16	-0.00	14	44%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.03	0.01	11	76%	0.20	1	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Dwayne Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01	0.12	-0.10	0.03	16	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.17
Sean May	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.2,-0.28,-0.26,-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	11	31%	-0.06	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.06

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	22	65%	0.39	5	-0.13	19	79%	0.03
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.02	7	60%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.12	0.00	13	43%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	65%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.04
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	13	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	5	37%	-0.07	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	35.7	16.0	25.2	2.5	47.4	153.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -2.9%

MIA +21.9%

MIA +13.9%

MIA +19.1%

CHA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.8	15.5	109.1	112.4	106.4
season	16.5	16.0		103.0	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	19.5	16.8	16.5	16.8
MIA	16.9	14.8	20.0	12.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Jones	5	6	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-7	10	16.6	16.8	-0.16	10.0	16.2	-6.22
Nazr Mohammed	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-3	2	15.2	17.2	-1.96	18.7	15.0	3.67
Shannon Brown	18	20	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.04	-1	-3	2	17.4	16.6	0.80	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Sean May	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-3	2	14.9	17.9	-3.00	18.6	14.1	4.47
Alexis Ajinca	4	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	30.0	16.1	13.88	10.0	16.0	-6.00
Adam Morrison	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-4	4	16.4	17.0	-0.63	15.5	16.0	-0.45
Jared Dudley	67	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-3	2	16.4	18.0	-1.58	17.9	8.4	9.48
D.J. Augustin	50	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	16.7	16.8	-0.12	14.0	18.3	-4.30
Emeka Okafor	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	-1	-2	17.2	15.2	1.96	15.0	18.7	-3.67
Jason Richardson	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.49	-2	-2	0	17.1	15.3	1.83	15.1	18.2	-3.16
Raymond Felton	63	64	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	6	-16	17.0	16.2	0.77	15.8	15.8	0.05

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	43	42	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.36	13	-9	22	12.3	19.0	-6.72	17.7	15.9	1.75
Mario Chalmers	67	66	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-6	16	14.7	19.1	-4.37	16.7	16.9	-0.21
Dwyane Wade	72	72	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-7	18	15.1	18.8	-3.67	17.0	15.6	1.45
Udonis Haslem	67	68	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.52	6	-2	8	16.0	15.1	0.88	16.7	17.0	-0.39
Shawn Marion	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.59	2	2	0	16.3	14.4	1.91	16.3	18.2	-1.97
Jamaal Magloire	5	4	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	2	0	19.6	15.6	4.03	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Joel Anthony	41	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	5	-6	18.6	13.4	5.21	17.0	16.5	0.52
Mark Blount	6	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	7	-10	10.0	16.2	-6.22	16.6	16.8	-0.16
Daequan Cook	17	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	11	-18	18.8	15.1	3.67	15.6	17.0	-1.45
Chris Quinn	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	10	-16	19.1	14.7	4.37	16.9	16.7	0.21
Michael Beasley	38	37	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.26	-7	11	-18	15.9	15.7	0.17	16.7	16.8	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.22,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.72,1	91.3%
DEN 108, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.63,1	91.1%
CLE 93, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	90.7%