NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	5.4 [740]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +14.5%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	1.5 [996]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -16.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,0.15	0.03	0.14	0.03	18	57%	0.22	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0	0.14	-0.06	0.08	22	65%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Acie Law	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	80%	0.04	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.02	0.06	7	68%	0.02	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.19	11	64%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.01	-0.05	18	54%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.08	-0.05	18	46%	0.13	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.05
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	17	60%	0.12	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	30.5	16.7	31.2	2.6	36.0	141.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +4.1%

DAL +11.8%

DAL +14.8%

DAL +17.4%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.7	15.5	101.0	103.1	106.4
season	15.8	15.6		106.7	108.9
opponent	15.4	16.1		107.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	14.8	14.7	11.5	13.9
DAL	17.5	15.2	15.3	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	70	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-12	22	13.2	15.8	-2.53	16.3	14.2	2.17
Ronald Murray	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	6	-14	14.6	13.8	0.81	16.7	15.5	1.14
Josh Smith	79	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.49	10	-12	22	13.6	15.6	-1.97	15.9	14.9	0.97
Acie Law	17	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	4	-10	15.2	13.7	1.49	16.9	15.4	1.50
Maurice Evans	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	10	-22	15.6	13.0	2.60	17.2	14.9	2.35
Mike Bibby	80	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	13.7	15.2	-1.49	15.4	16.9	-1.50
Joe Johnson	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-8	14	13.8	14.6	-0.81	15.5	16.7	-1.14
Solomon Jones	27	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	10	-22	15.8	13.2	2.53	14.2	16.3	-2.17
Marvin Williams	79	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	13.6	15.6	-2.04	14.9	19.3	-4.38

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-9	20	15.8	15.6	0.21	13.5	14.9	-1.48
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	3	-4	15.8	15.6	0.18	13.5	15.5	-2.06
DeSagana Diop	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	-4	10	15.8	15.7	0.06	15.7	12.8	2.92
Jason Kidd	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.46	-6	8	-14	15.0	17.8	-2.77	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Erick Dampier	37	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-6	14	17.1	14.9	2.16	14.4	13.6	0.78
Devean George	45	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-7	16	15.7	15.8	-0.10	14.8	13.2	1.63
Jason Terry	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.53	-10	12	-22	15.7	15.8	-0.09	13.7	14.7	-1.07
Shawne Williams	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	0	2	17.0	14.8	2.23	15.0	13.2	1.87
Brandon Bass	43	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.31	-9	11	-20	14.5	16.7	-2.25	12.8	14.9	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 76, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NOK 83, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%