NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	5.0 [836]		MVP	Larry Hughes (CHI): +16.7%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	1.5 [1060]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -13.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	74%	0.16	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	19	66%	0.14	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	18	53%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	133%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	9	39%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	-0.00	0.02	13	75%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	15	66%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	19	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	10	46%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	27.4	15.5	25.3	3.4	38.4	133.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.7%

WAS -4.2%

CHI +14.5%

CHI +13.6%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.5	117.0	124.5	106.4
season	15.9	14.8		103.5	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	16.8	16.6	12.8	15.4
CHI	14.5	16.7	14.7	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	10	9	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-12	17	14.4	15.5	-1.06	18.1	15.0	3.12
JaVale McGee	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-6	5	16.6	15.0	1.57	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Dee Brown	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-5	3	16.4	15.0	1.43	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Juan Dixon	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-14	21	12.8	16.3	-3.42	15.3	15.3	0.08
Dominic McGuire	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-5	3	15.5	15.3	0.26	19.2	13.9	5.28
Nick Young	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.0	1.03	16.5	14.6	1.89
Antawn Jamison	79	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	15.0	17.0	-1.96	15.4	14.8	0.57
Darius Songaila	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-8	9	14.4	16.4	-2.01	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Caron Butler	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-7	7	15.2	15.9	-0.73	14.3	18.5	-4.14
DeShawn Stevenson	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.3	-1.27	14.3	17.8	-3.43
Antonio Daniels	28	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	5	-17	17.4	14.5	2.86	17.0	14.6	2.44
Andray Blatche	38	37	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.03	-18	11	-29	16.6	14.5	2.06	15.2	15.3	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	15.9	12.9	3.03	16.2	12.7	3.43
Andres Nocioni	53	51	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	15.7	14.7	0.99	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Larry Hughes	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	15.7	14.3	1.39	14.8	16.7	-1.85
Derrick Rose	75	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-1	9	14.3	19.4	-5.12	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Luol Deng	83	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	5	-3	14.9	17.9	-2.97	15.0	18.0	-3.00
Drew Gooden	67	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	8	-9	15.6	14.6	0.97	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Aaron Gray	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	2	3	15.2	15.4	-0.21	17.2	13.8	3.37
Tyrus Thomas	10	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	10	-13	14.8	15.3	-0.55	14.2	15.5	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, CHH 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHI 83, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHX 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.3%