inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 105 Excitement2.5 [1248] MVPDavid West (NOH): +8.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 80 Comeback1.0 [1252] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -7.4%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.00-0.011166%0.092-0.017100%0.02
James Posey0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.00-0.06847%0.051-0.001100%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01772%0.063-0.02425%-0.02
Chris Paul0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.000.05977%0.062-0.024100%0.01
Devin Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.010.061067%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Rasual Butler0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.041233%0.0000.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Peja Stojakovic0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021446%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01650%-0.0220.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0200%0.002-0.0300%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00967%0.083-0.056100%0.01
Kyle Weaver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mouhamed Sene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00257%0.0010.00367%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.071444%0.024-0.03683%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.00554%-0.022-0.00367%-0.01
Johan Petro0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02729%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02333%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01654%0.035-0.091100%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.120.00-0.04619%-0.032-0.04475%-0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.010.000.061353%-0.023-0.056100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.736.218.829.22.828.2146.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +29.7%
NOH +0.5%
OKC -2.5%
NOH +22.0%
NOH +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHOKCNBANOHOKCNBA
this game15.013.715.5105.079.2106.4
season16.614.9105.9100.5
opponent15.115.6106.6106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.113.315.416.315.0
OKC13.713.912.914.313.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West62630.370.130.25-0.302322114.715.4-0.7713.214.6-1.42
Peja Stojakovic53530.350.150.20-0.272141714.515.6-1.1013.613.8-0.23
Chris Paul57580.330.170.16-0.111510514.415.7-1.2813.214.4-1.22
James Posey46480.310.190.12-0.101411315.015.00.0213.114.2-1.08
Tyson Chandler46470.300.200.10-0.141510514.815.1-0.3113.913.50.34
Rasual Butler60580.270.230.050.01916-716.312.93.4113.713.70.07
Devin Brown51540.240.26-0.03-0.352051515.014.90.1014.213.11.18
Hilton Armstrong40410.160.34-0.17-0.221312115.514.60.9714.113.40.64
Julian Wright38380.130.37-0.250.07223-2115.414.70.7714.613.21.42
Melvin Ely14130.040.46-0.420.13-328-3113.915.2-1.2911.814.0-2.12
Ryan Bowen17170.000.50-0.500.06-227-2914.215.1-0.9614.713.51.22
Mike James16150.000.50-0.500.06-227-2914.215.1-0.9314.713.51.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamed Sene11120.00-0.500.50-0.031-262715.213.51.6713.115.2-2.14
Kyle Weaver1516-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-252513.713.7-0.0313.415.3-1.82
Joe Smith4138-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-191312.414.6-2.1515.114.90.22
Russell Westbrook6360-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-191313.214.4-1.2114.515.7-1.17
Johan Petro5051-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-201513.513.9-0.3815.314.70.62
Chris Wilcox4745-0.20-0.300.100.27-16-9-714.313.21.1315.814.31.55
Damien Wilkins5452-0.20-0.300.090.18-13-12-114.313.01.3015.114.80.30
Earl Watson3739-0.30-0.20-0.090.20-17-8-914.813.11.7215.814.41.39
Jeff Green6362-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-15-10-512.915.0-2.1414.715.4-0.77
Nick Collison5354-0.42-0.08-0.350.28-24-1-2314.013.30.6914.315.8-1.46
Kevin Durant7171-0.43-0.07-0.350.28-24-1-2313.813.50.3215.413.91.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 107, MEM 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
LAC 111, CHA 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
CHI 100, ORL 760.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%