inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 100 Excitement2.4 [1260] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +9.2%
Orlando Magic 76 Comeback1.1 [645] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -8.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.00-0.031077%0.134-0.042100%0.01
Tyrus Thomas0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.022100%0.062-0.012100%0.01
Chris Duhon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.02-0.05747%0.023-0.025100%-0.00
P.J. Brown0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.02567%0.021-0.012100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03430%0.0000.00250%0.00
Viktor Khryapa0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Michael Sweetney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02475%0.0010.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07312%0.0010.00250%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02737%-0.021-0.0020%-0.02
Luol Deng-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001348%-0.013-0.02560%-0.00
Ben Gordon-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.020.000.061758%0.014-0.05978%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00571%0.032-0.00450%-0.01
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02437%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01555%0.002-0.021100%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02944%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.021346%-0.013-0.03250%-0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01835%-0.032-0.0210%-0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00535%-0.051-0.011070%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.080.000.001147%-0.034-0.051436%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.73.030.719.733.43.434.6152.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +33.8%
CHI +7.9%
CHI +5.4%
CHI +2.5%
CHI +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIORLNBACHIORLNBA
this game15.714.915.4107.580.0104.5
season14.515.9103.1103.4
opponent15.715.9103.098.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.215.715.516.615.7
ORL16.818.612.212.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich47460.450.050.40-0.252402414.716.8-2.0617.812.25.58
Ben Wallace77780.420.080.34-0.141951416.114.21.8015.313.02.32
Ben Gordon69700.400.100.29-0.252222015.316.9-1.5814.515.9-1.38
Luol Deng72740.370.130.24-0.191951415.815.50.3415.213.81.41
Tyrus Thomas27270.280.220.050.10618-1215.915.70.1517.413.93.55
P.J. Brown31330.220.28-0.06-0.161311213.117.1-4.0216.514.12.37
Adrian Griffin47480.210.29-0.08-0.23159617.414.03.4014.115.7-1.58
Chris Duhon59610.170.33-0.160.02519-1417.113.43.7714.016.6-2.62
Viktor Khryapa11110.000.50-0.500.00024-2414.815.9-1.059.515.6-6.06
Michael Sweetney12120.000.50-0.500.00024-2415.415.8-0.3710.215.6-5.42
Thabo Sefolosha1315-0.010.51-0.510.08-327-3014.216.0-1.7610.115.8-5.67

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity13120.00-0.500.50-0.031-252611.115.5-4.4415.415.8-0.37
Bo Outlaw1313-0.01-0.490.490.08-3-21189.515.8-6.3117.515.52.00
JJ Redick3331-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-222011.816.6-4.7817.215.02.18
Carlos Arroyo3737-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-191414.415.3-0.9116.915.01.86
Keith Bogans3838-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-211814.815.0-0.1514.516.6-2.14
Hedo Turkoglu2524-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-13217.713.93.8215.116.0-0.83
Keyon Dooling4343-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-16815.214.70.5115.915.60.35
Trevor Ariza6057-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-13214.715.3-0.6016.015.30.76
Darko Milicic3132-0.30-0.20-0.090.26-19-5-1416.814.02.7715.415.9-0.56
Grant Hill5352-0.36-0.14-0.220.40-262-2815.913.72.1815.915.60.32
Jameer Nelson5856-0.37-0.13-0.230.19-19-5-1415.314.40.9115.016.9-1.86
Dwight Howard7170-0.41-0.09-0.310.00-14-10-415.612.92.7215.416.7-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 105, OKC 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
DAL 118, ORL 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
MEM 108, ORL 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%