NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	5.3 [760]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (PHX): +26.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.0 [1105]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIL): -10.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.12	0.00	16	71%	0.30	2	-0.04	9	56%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	8	67%	0.17	4	-0.07	20	90%	0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	65%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	10	73%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.02	0.07	15	52%	0.03	0	0.00	14	71%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	30.6	16.4	26.2	2.5	36.6	141.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.5%

PHX +17.6%

PHX +3.5%

MIL -8.1%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.5	105.1	99.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.0		112.1	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	16.8	15.7	16.1	15.1
MIL	14.4	16.7	13.7	12.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	71	70	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.18	17	-9	26	15.0	15.3	-0.29	14.3	14.1	0.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	85	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.23	14	-6	20	14.6	18.5	-3.86	14.3	14.2	0.02
Grant Hill	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-5	18	15.2	14.7	0.56	14.3	14.1	0.21
Shaquille O'Neal	73	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	15.2	14.9	0.26	13.4	16.6	-3.21
Raja Bell	65	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-2	12	14.6	16.0	-1.35	12.8	16.9	-4.12
Leandro Barbosa	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	10	-12	16.0	14.6	1.35	16.9	12.8	4.12
Robin Lopez	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	16.4	14.9	1.45	14.7	14.2	0.52
Boris Diaw	37	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	16	-24	14.9	15.2	-0.35	15.4	13.6	1.87
Lou Amundson	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	14	-20	17.2	14.9	2.33	15.4	14.2	1.21
Goran Dragic	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	17	-26	15.3	15.0	0.29	14.1	14.3	-0.17

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	23.0	13.9	9.11	10.7	15.3	-4.54
Francisco Elson	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-3	-2	16.9	13.9	3.07	15.8	15.0	0.85
Joe Alexander	46	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-13	18	13.9	14.6	-0.68	15.7	14.5	1.19
Dan Gadzuric	23	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	14.6	14.2	0.45	16.1	14.8	1.36
Charlie Villanueva	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	1	-10	13.8	14.4	-0.59	14.3	15.3	-1.05
Luke Ridnour	53	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	14.5	14.0	0.41	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Andrew Bogut	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	13.6	15.4	-1.87	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Luc Mbah a Moute	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.34	4	-12	16	14.3	14.1	0.26	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Ramon Sessions	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-7	6	14.0	14.8	-0.75	15.6	14.0	1.64
Charlie Bell	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	3	-14	13.6	15.4	-1.78	14.1	16.7	-2.55
Richard Jefferson	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	5	-18	14.8	13.3	1.46	16.2	13.2	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
POR 110, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.11,0,0,0	93.7%
GSW 92, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.4%