inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 108 Excitement5.0 [827] MVPMorris Peterson (NOH): +20.0%
Phoenix Suns 95 Comeback1.0 [649] LVPLeandro Barbosa (PHX): -12.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.200,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.220.020.031087%0.2000.00475%0.00
James Posey0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.170.110.080.03881%0.1700.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic0.100,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.000.001367%0.1000.00475%0.00
Rasual Butler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.040.00560%0.0700.0000%0.00
David West0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.03-0.021943%0.051-0.034100%0.03
Chris Paul0.020,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.04-0.011456%0.105-0.08887%-0.00
Melvin Ely-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01458%0.042-0.04475%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02337%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Mike James-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0000%-0.011-0.0220%-0.03

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.011658%0.122-0.04475%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.01583%0.082-0.022100%0.01
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.02455%0.051-0.02367%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05972%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.020.01462%0.062-0.05540%-0.03
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.011665%0.157-0.14580%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02667%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01250%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.01-0.01617%-0.053-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.836.220.424.43.433.3147.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +20.0%
PHX -0.9%
NOH +4.7%
NOH +21.4%
NOH +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHPHXNBANOHPHXNBA
this game17.513.615.5116.1103.3106.4
season16.614.1105.9112.1
opponent15.515.6109.9106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.614.417.721.017.5
PHX12.415.013.713.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson58580.52-0.020.540.0217-42117.018.5-1.4713.513.8-0.30
Chris Paul77780.480.020.460.0415-21716.721.7-5.0913.513.8-0.25
David West81800.420.080.330.1594517.915.02.9113.116.7-3.55
Peja Stojakovic61590.370.130.250.1194517.218.1-0.9013.314.2-0.90
Hilton Armstrong40400.230.27-0.05-0.0185316.318.5-2.1313.413.7-0.22
James Posey48470.210.29-0.090.0949-519.016.03.0213.813.30.48
Melvin Ely37370.110.39-0.290.08112-1117.417.6-0.2213.513.7-0.20
Rasual Butler34340.100.40-0.300.04211-918.417.01.3814.413.11.23
Devin Brown13130.050.45-0.40-0.01211-915.517.9-2.3216.213.13.09
Mike James16140.020.48-0.460.08-215-1721.716.75.0913.813.50.25

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goran Dragic22210.01-0.510.53-0.021-141515.413.02.3518.117.40.72
Robin Lopez23-0.03-0.470.430.03-2-11911.513.6-2.1224.017.36.68
Lou Amundson77-0.10-0.410.31-0.01-3-10718.713.25.5613.117.9-4.75
Leandro Barbosa3939-0.15-0.350.19-0.13-1-121114.512.91.5417.217.8-0.57
Grant Hill4040-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-9514.013.20.7518.716.62.13
Boris Diaw4646-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-10713.713.40.3319.315.83.45
Shaquille O'Neal4647-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-3-713.413.7-0.3315.819.3-3.45
Matt Barnes5253-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-9-4-513.214.0-0.7516.618.7-2.13
Raja Bell5354-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-1-1112.914.5-1.5417.817.20.57
Amar'e Stoudemire8383-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.14-8-5-313.217.1-3.9217.716.41.27
Steve Nash7072-0.510.01-0.53-0.10-141-1513.015.4-2.3517.418.1-0.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 100, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,094.2%
NYK 98, MIA 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.11,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,094.2%
DET 93, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,094.2%