NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	115		Excitement	4.4 [952]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): +13.7%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	1.3 [774]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -9.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	14	72%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Daequan Cook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	7	81%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.09	13	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	14	32%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	24	46%	-0.03	5	-0.07	9	89%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.03	9	73%	0.16	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.03	19	60%	0.18	4	-0.07	10	70%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.07	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	34.3	16.8	28.3	2.5	35.6	144.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.5%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +4.3%

NYK +0.7%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	12.9	15.5	110.6	114.3	106.4
season	16.0	13.8		105.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.1	14.1	14.1	13.3	14.6
NYK	11.7	13.6	12.1	14.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	17.7	14.4	3.31	17.5	12.6	4.93
Mark Blount	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-5	5	15.0	14.5	0.45	14.8	12.6	2.21
Daequan Cook	41	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-15	25	14.3	14.8	-0.51	14.5	11.8	2.70
Marcus Banks	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	14.8	14.4	0.35	11.7	14.6	-2.88
Michael Beasley	56	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	9	-23	16.6	12.3	4.37	13.3	12.5	0.77
Mario Chalmers	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.47	2	-7	9	13.7	17.4	-3.65	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Dwyane Wade	90	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	14.7	14.0	0.72	12.9	12.9	0.01
Udonis Haslem	86	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	14.5	15.0	-0.45	12.6	14.8	-2.21
Shawn Marion	82	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-1	-3	13.8	17.8	-4.05	12.5	14.9	-2.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	88	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-1	7	12.7	14.4	-1.68	14.4	15.7	-1.26
Quentin Richardson	59	59	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	-12	29	13.4	12.3	1.14	15.7	13.2	2.59
Zach Randolph	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	13.3	12.3	0.94	14.1	15.6	-1.46
Chris Duhon	87	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	6	-7	12.6	14.7	-2.15	13.7	18.7	-4.97
David Lee	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-5	15	12.7	13.4	-0.70	15.2	12.9	2.34
Wilson Chandler	52	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	10	-15	12.6	13.3	-0.69	14.7	14.5	0.18
Mardy Collins	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	4	-3	13.6	12.8	0.85	15.7	14.3	1.40
Nate Robinson	54	53	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.29	-8	13	-21	13.0	12.9	0.04	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Malik Rose	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	14.3	12.7	1.55	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Danilo Gallinari	7	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	13.3	12.9	0.37	17.7	14.4	3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DEN 102, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
IND 89, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%