NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	4.6 [885]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +8.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	78		Comeback	2.2 [1242]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -18.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	6	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.14	-0.01	0.14	12	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	70%	0.03	3	-0.07	14	71%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	17	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Fazekas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.03	20	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	17	52%	0.02	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.03	11	14%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.4	37.3	19.7	27.6	3.7	31.6	147.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.8%

LAL +0.4%

LAC -7.7%

LAL +18.7%

LAL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	17.9	15.4	114.0	85.7	105.7
season	14.6	15.6		110.6	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	12.0	12.4	15.0	13.4
LAC	18.0	17.0	18.1	18.6	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	69	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	15	-2	12.9	15.1	-2.27	18.0	17.8	0.16
Lamar Odom	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	5	18	13.5	13.3	0.17	18.2	17.3	0.90
Pau Gasol	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	17	-6	13.5	13.4	0.15	17.8	18.1	-0.33
Jordan Farmar	35	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.34	21	7	14	12.7	13.9	-1.12	18.3	17.7	0.66
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	18	-8	13.5	13.4	0.06	18.6	17.2	1.32
Luke Walton	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.33	20	8	12	13.4	13.5	-0.06	17.5	18.3	-0.83
Derek Fisher	49	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	21	-14	13.6	13.2	0.36	17.9	17.9	0.05
Ronny Turiaf	37	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.37	17	11	6	13.4	13.5	-0.15	18.1	17.8	0.33
Sasha Vujacic	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.36	16	12	4	13.5	13.4	0.17	17.6	18.1	-0.49
Ira Newble	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	15.2	13.2	1.97	16.2	18.1	-1.88
DJ Mbenga	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	16.0	13.0	2.97	16.2	18.2	-1.91
Chris Mihm	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	15.2	13.2	1.97	16.2	18.1	-1.88

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	30	32	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-28	28	18.3	17.7	0.53	13.0	13.7	-0.72
Nick Fazekas	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	16.2	18.2	-1.91	16.0	13.0	2.97
Dan Dickau	37	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-27	26	18.3	17.6	0.69	13.7	13.3	0.41
Marcus Williams	15	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.15	-7	-21	14	17.4	18.0	-0.61	14.6	13.2	1.35
Josh Powell	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.26	-16	-12	-4	18.0	17.9	0.10	12.8	13.9	-1.15
Tim Thomas	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-7	-14	18.6	16.4	2.25	13.5	13.4	0.03
Elton Brand	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-10	-8	17.6	18.6	-1.00	13.8	12.6	1.19
Al Thornton	84	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.21	-22	-6	-16	17.6	22.1	-4.58	13.6	11.7	1.87
Smush Parker	54	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.35	-27	-1	-26	17.6	18.3	-0.69	13.3	13.7	-0.41
Cuttino Mobley	61	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.24	-25	-3	-22	18.2	17.3	0.96	12.7	14.9	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 116, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%