NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	108		Excitement	5.4 [699]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +20.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	1.2 [528]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAL): -10.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.06	-0.06	28	55%	0.25	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	7	86%	0.18	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	10	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	11	42%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	57%	0.03	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	10	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	22	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	32.0	15.8	28.2	3.5	31.5	134.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +48.9%

LAL -4.8%

CHA +8.6%

LAL -5.0%

CHA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.4	111.3	96.0	105.7
season	15.8	14.6		103.1	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.1	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.4	17.6	15.6	17.6	15.6
LAL	14.8	16.0	12.7	11.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	84	86	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.04	20	-7	27	15.5	16.5	-1.05	14.3	10.2	4.08
Emeka Okafor	67	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-7	27	16.0	14.7	1.34	14.0	13.3	0.66
Jason Richardson	93	94	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	2	9	15.3	22.5	-7.17	13.5	18.4	-4.87
Raymond Felton	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-1	15	15.1	17.8	-2.74	13.8	13.7	0.14
Matt Carroll	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	11	-9	14.9	16.7	-1.78	13.3	14.5	-1.13
Jared Dudley	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	7	-1	17.1	13.7	3.38	13.8	13.7	0.14
Earl Boykins	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	14	-15	17.8	15.1	2.74	13.7	13.8	-0.14
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	20	-27	14.7	16.0	-1.34	13.3	14.0	-0.66

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	24	24	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-21	29	12.8	14.1	-1.30	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Luke Walton	45	43	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.16	7	-20	27	13.6	13.9	-0.24	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Jordan Farmar	33	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-18	23	13.8	13.8	0.06	15.8	15.5	0.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-7	1	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.3	15.9	-0.65
Sasha Vujacic	52	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-7	1	13.0	14.7	-1.72	15.8	15.4	0.44
Derek Fisher	66	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	5	-23	13.8	13.8	-0.06	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Lamar Odom	88	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	3	-19	13.5	16.1	-2.60	16.5	8.5	8.09
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.05	-18	5	-23	14.5	11.0	3.53	15.5	16.3	-0.85
Ronny Turiaf	65	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.03	-21	8	-29	14.5	12.4	2.08	15.5	15.9	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
DET 93, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0	93.8%
MEM 97, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.7%