NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	5.6 [658]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +17.2%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	3.1 [1042]		LVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): -6.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.06	0.04	13	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	18	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	40%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	71%	0.07	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	17	62%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.05	0.07	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	65%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	52%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	35.7	15.8	29.2	2.0	28.2	139.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.9%

SEA -1.4%

UTA +13.6%

UTA +20.5%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	15.4	103.1	118.6	105.7
season	14.5	15.5		99.1	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.8	11.9	15.9	17.9	14.3
UTA	14.8	13.4	14.1	20.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	46	44	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.05	12	-26	38	11.9	16.4	-4.49	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Adrian Griffin	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-12	10	17.0	14.2	2.82	18.0	15.1	2.87
Mouhamed Sene	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	14.0	14.3	-0.31	18.0	15.1	2.87
Donyell Marshall	25	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-14	14	12.9	14.8	-1.85	16.9	14.7	2.18
Johan Petro	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	14.2	14.4	-0.26	13.6	16.7	-3.08
Damien Wilkins	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-9	4	15.2	12.9	2.32	15.9	14.1	1.84
Nick Collison	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	14.6	12.6	2.07	15.1	15.8	-0.65
Kevin Durant	85	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-3	-8	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.6	13.3	2.26
Jeff Green	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	5	-24	14.6	13.6	1.06	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Luke Ridnour	72	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.01	-25	11	-36	14.8	12.8	1.97	15.4	14.8	0.55

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	71	70	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.01	21	-7	28	15.6	14.4	1.18	15.3	11.8	3.51
Deron Williams	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-5	24	15.0	17.1	-2.07	14.7	10.7	4.02
Kyle Korver	34	33	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	2	10	16.6	14.5	2.11	16.5	13.2	3.39
Matt Harpring	35	36	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	6	2	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.4	13.6	1.77
Paul Millsap	45	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	15.2	15.3	-0.13	13.8	14.8	-1.02
Ronnie Brewer	50	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	12	-10	14.5	16.1	-1.58	14.3	14.3	0.05
Carlos Boozer	77	78	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	11	-8	14.8	17.0	-2.21	13.9	15.8	-1.95
Andrei Kirilenko	62	62	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	8	-2	15.3	15.1	0.21	13.6	15.4	-1.77
Jarron Collins	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	14	-14	31.0	15.1	15.92	0.0	14.4	-14.44
CJ Miles	13	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	14	-14	14.6	15.3	-0.73	9.3	15.2	-5.94
Ronnie Price	10	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	19	-24	17.1	15.0	2.07	10.7	14.7	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 95, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.6%
CLE 91, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%