NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	5.8 [615]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (TOR): +32.5%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	3.4 [447]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -16.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	16	53%	0.05	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	68%	0.10	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Marko Jaric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	6	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	17	44%	-0.05	4	-0.09	5	60%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.15	0.01	16	75%	0.32	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.02	5	80%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	0.01	12	37%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	8	12%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.2	17.4	28.5	2.5	28.2	132.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.4%

LAC -13.9%

TOR +5.4%

TOR +13.2%

LAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.5	96.6	112.4	101.6
season	15.4	16.2		100.2	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	15.8	17.8	14.9	16.2
TOR	15.0	15.5	14.9	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	6.5	16.4	-9.95	39.0	15.9	23.12
Marko Jaric	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	10.1	16.7	-6.60	26.3	15.3	11.02
Keyon Dooling	14	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-12	10	15.4	16.4	-0.94	18.0	15.8	2.16
Eric Piatkowski	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-15	16	15.1	16.6	-1.45	17.2	15.8	1.39
Lamar Odom	56	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-10	6	16.7	15.4	1.32	15.8	16.7	-0.96
Elton Brand	70	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-6	-2	16.9	13.6	3.36	15.3	19.1	-3.82
Melvin Ely	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-16	18	14.9	17.4	-2.54	18.4	14.1	4.34
Corey Maggette	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-3	-8	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.5	17.6	-2.10
Andre Miller	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	1	-16	16.7	14.4	2.29	15.1	20.1	-4.91
Quentin Richardson	46	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	-1	-12	15.3	17.3	-1.99	17.3	14.9	2.42
Sean Rooks	56	56	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	-0.04	-21	7	-28	17.3	14.5	2.81	14.4	19.2	-4.79

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	38	39	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-1	16	17.6	15.0	2.57	16.5	16.0	0.51
Morris Peterson	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	5	4	14.9	18.6	-3.77	16.2	16.3	-0.11
Michael Bradley	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	3	8	18.7	14.4	4.25	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Voshon Lenard	58	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	3	8	18.0	12.6	5.35	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Jerome Williams	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	5	4	15.0	19.5	-4.51	16.7	14.8	1.94
Vince Carter	55	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	5	4	14.3	19.1	-4.87	16.7	15.6	1.12
Antonio Davis	73	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	9	-4	15.2	20.2	-5.02	16.8	13.8	2.97
Alvin Williams	54	54	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	16.1	16.1	-0.01	15.4	17.4	-1.98
Zendon Hamilton	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	13	-12	27.0	15.3	11.65	11.9	16.6	-4.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.2%
SEA 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
VAN 96, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1	94.1%