NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	6.4 [504]		MVP	Juan Carlos Navarro (MEM): +38.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	117		Comeback	1.5 [592]		LVP	Javaris Crittenton (MEM): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Douby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.02	5	92%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Shelden Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	13	58%	0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.05	-0.07	0.04	24	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.19	0.01	12	81%	0.38	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	20	60%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	8	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	48%	0.05	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	29.4	16.4	24.5	5.4	32.6	135.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.5%

MEM +3.4%

SAC -0.5%

MEM +9.6%

SAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.4	116.8	123.2	105.7
season	14.9	14.9		105.6	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.6	15.2	15.1	18.1	16.0
MEM	13.7	13.0	15.5	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-6	6	17.0	15.9	1.13	16.1	14.2	1.95
Shelden Williams	29	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-5	4	18.9	14.7	4.26	15.0	14.1	0.87
Anthony Johnson	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	16.1	15.9	0.20	13.6	15.3	-1.64
John Salmons	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	15.8	16.2	-0.44	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Spencer Hawes	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.5	18.3	-2.83	13.6	17.9	-4.38
Quincy Douby	34	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.9	0.19	13.9	14.6	-0.63
Francisco Garcia	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-4	2	15.3	17.1	-1.86	14.7	13.8	0.91
Mikki Moore	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	0	-6	15.3	18.2	-2.91	15.2	12.0	3.20
Kevin Martin	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.4	11.7	4.75	14.4	13.8	0.63

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	52	53	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-5	16	15.0	13.5	1.53	16.7	15.1	1.57
Mike Miller	60	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-3	12	14.0	15.0	-0.99	16.4	15.2	1.25
Juan Carlos Navarro	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	1	4	14.8	13.6	1.27	14.9	17.6	-2.71
Darko Milicic	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	-4	14	14.3	14.4	-0.11	14.8	18.2	-3.48
Rudy Gay	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	3	0	14.5	14.0	0.43	15.1	18.3	-3.27
Hakim Warrick	63	66	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	11	-16	14.0	15.1	-1.17	16.6	14.5	2.09
Jason Collins	30	31	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	9	-12	14.7	14.2	0.56	18.7	14.6	4.07
Javaris Crittenton	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	1	4	14.6	14.2	0.33	17.6	15.0	2.61
Brian Cardinal	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	11.0	14.4	-3.42	2.0	16.1	-14.12
Kyle Lowry	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	12	-18	13.3	15.2	-1.92	14.9	16.9	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.6%
NJN 106, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%
DEN 88, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.1%