NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	6.4 [494]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (HOU): +24.2%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	1.1 [891]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	4	76%	0.14	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07
Luke Walton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.04	-0.07	33	34%	-0.11	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.09	0.02	9	90%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.02	22	65%	0.29	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.01	12	54%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	58%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.15	0.07	-0.03	16	29%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	4.3	31.5	18.7	26.2	3.5	35.4	147.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.6%

HOU +2.1%

HOU +9.2%

LAL -7.1%

HOU +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	15.4	104.5	116.9	105.7
season	14.6	16.2		110.6	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	16.8	17.5	13.0	14.9
HOU	17.3	17.5	20.4	15.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	47	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.14	10	-22	32	14.5	15.4	-0.93	18.5	16.6	1.92
DJ Mbenga	22	21	0.14	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-20	28	17.3	14.2	3.17	19.6	17.0	2.66
Derek Fisher	50	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	14.4	15.7	-1.30	18.3	16.6	1.69
Sasha Vujacic	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-1	-10	14.6	15.2	-0.59	16.2	18.6	-2.40
Lamar Odom	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	14.6	16.6	-1.94	17.8	16.3	1.54
Luke Walton	26	24	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	1	-14	16.5	14.3	2.21	16.2	18.1	-1.88
Kobe Bryant	86	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	15.1	7.0	8.13	17.7	14.0	3.71
Ronny Turiaf	55	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	5	-22	14.3	16.0	-1.64	17.0	18.6	-1.58
Jordan Farmar	44	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	0	-12	15.2	14.7	0.43	16.8	18.3	-1.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	40	39	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-3	18	16.5	18.5	-2.01	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Shane Battier	87	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	2	8	17.5	20.5	-2.98	14.9	17.0	-2.13
Luther Head	23	24	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	1	10	17.2	17.7	-0.49	16.2	14.5	1.68
Michael Harris	19	19	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	16.9	17.8	-0.81	16.4	14.6	1.82
Rafer Alston	74	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	8	-4	17.6	17.6	-0.02	14.6	16.9	-2.28
Tracy McGrady	72	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	6	0	17.7	17.2	0.43	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Charles Hayes	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	5	2	17.5	17.6	-0.11	15.8	13.9	1.96
Luis Scola	51	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	7	-2	18.3	16.6	1.71	15.1	14.8	0.31
Dikembe Mutombo	32	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	21	-30	18.5	17.1	1.48	13.6	15.6	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.96,1,1	93.4%
LAC 99, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
LAC 102, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%