NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	6.5 [557]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +27.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	1.1 [985]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -18.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	76%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.03	0.02	20	46%	-0.02	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.12	0.01	19	69%	0.27	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.02	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	58%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	56%	0.07	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	28.3	15.6	26.5	2.0	35.0	135.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.4%

SEA -3.9%

SEA -10.2%

LAC +19.1%

LAC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.5	103.4	117.0	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		109.5	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	17.4	16.8	16.0	16.2
LAC	15.0	14.7	19.2	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	48	49	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-19	27	15.7	16.9	-1.26	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Nick Collison	10	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-9	7	15.8	16.3	-0.50	15.7	16.4	-0.63
Jerome James	22	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-10	9	16.5	16.1	0.40	16.0	16.4	-0.46
Ronald Murray	13	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-11	11	18.7	15.8	2.86	18.2	16.0	2.16
Rashard Lewis	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	15.5	16.7	-1.26	14.5	17.5	-2.91
Luke Ridnour	69	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-6	1	15.3	19.6	-4.39	16.4	15.8	0.64
Ray Allen	80	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-7	3	15.8	20.2	-4.42	16.5	14.6	1.91
Vladimir Radmanovic	60	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	3	-17	16.6	15.4	1.24	16.6	15.8	0.75
Antonio Daniels	66	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	1	-13	16.8	14.7	2.15	16.5	15.7	0.87
Danny Fortson	43	40	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	7	-25	17.7	14.9	2.85	16.4	16.2	0.28

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	48	50	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.17	16	-5	21	16.2	16.4	-0.15	16.6	15.8	0.81
Quinton Ross	18	19	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	0	11	15.8	16.4	-0.58	16.7	16.1	0.56
Zeljko Rebraca	25	25	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	2	7	16.7	16.1	0.54	19.1	15.1	3.99
Bobby Simmons	56	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	2	7	16.1	16.6	-0.47	16.5	15.8	0.72
Corey Maggette	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	1	9	16.7	12.0	4.73	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Kerry Kittles	51	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	6	-1	16.4	16.2	0.18	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Elton Brand	66	65	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.45	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Chris Kaman	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	11	-11	16.3	16.3	-0.04	17.4	15.7	1.68
Mikki Moore	26	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	15	-19	15.5	16.6	-1.18	14.3	17.1	-2.86
Rick Brunson	40	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	16	-21	16.4	16.2	0.15	15.8	16.6	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.7%
VAN 94, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1	93.4%
LAL 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%