NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	2.9 [1193]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (DAL): +7.3%
Dallas Mavericks	116		Comeback	1.0 [1289]		LVP	Travis Diener (IND): -13.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.01
Stephen Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	16	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
David Harrison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.04	19	52%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	9	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	5	130%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	7	93%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	17	54%	0.06	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	14	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	14	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.2	16.6	28.2	1.8	31.0	132.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +60.0%

IND -5.1%

IND -0.3%

IND -8.1%

DAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.4	103.2	123.4	105.7
season	13.8	16.1		104.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	15.8	15.7	12.4	14.8
DAL	16.2	16.2	16.4	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	11.7	15.2	-3.50	14.1	16.0	-1.88
Ike Diogu	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-19	19	12.3	15.5	-3.22	14.1	16.2	-2.13
Marquis Daniels	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-19	19	13.2	15.6	-2.39	13.6	16.9	-3.23
Kareem Rush	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-16	13	16.0	14.1	1.85	15.1	16.2	-1.13
David Harrison	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-11	3	14.7	15.0	-0.27	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Ronald Murray	54	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-11	3	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.1	16.7	-1.60
Travis Diener	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-8	-3	14.9	14.8	0.08	16.7	15.1	1.60
Jeff Foster	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-9	-1	15.1	14.4	0.70	16.4	15.0	1.43
Danny Granger	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-6	-7	15.1	14.5	0.64	17.0	14.4	2.58
Mike Dunleavy	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	1	-21	14.9	14.5	0.40	16.5	13.9	2.66
Troy Murphy	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.12	-21	2	-23	15.7	13.1	2.54	16.3	14.7	1.59

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.23	23	-4	27	16.0	15.4	0.68	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Josh Howard	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	-2	23	16.7	14.2	2.51	14.9	14.6	0.32
Jason Kidd	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	2	15	16.0	15.5	0.45	14.9	14.7	0.26
Jerry Stackhouse	49	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	4	11	16.1	15.5	0.53	14.6	15.1	-0.53
Brandon Bass	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	13	-7	14.8	16.7	-1.89	15.7	14.1	1.56
Jason Terry	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	10	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.68	15.2	14.5	0.63
Dirk Nowitzki	53	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	11	-3	17.0	14.3	2.69	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Antoine Wright	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	22	-25	14.6	16.3	-1.72	14.9	14.8	0.14
Tyronn Lue	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	20	-21	15.4	16.0	-0.58	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Malik Allen	13	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	20	-21	16.2	15.7	0.49	15.8	14.7	1.12
Juwan Howard	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	17	-15	13.1	16.3	-3.13	15.1	14.8	0.29
Jamaal Magloire	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	13.7	16.0	-2.29	11.4	15.0	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 84, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MEM 87, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
TOR 87, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%