NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	6.3 [527]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +17.3%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	2.0 [780]		LVP	Matt Barnes (GSW): -7.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	6	77%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.03	0.05	30	59%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	22	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	13	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	12	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.02	0.08	21	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	13	72%	0.20	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.07	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.6	32.2	20.6	27.1	2.8	32.4	147.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +68.5%

PHX +4.4%

PHX +3.7%

GSW -20.5%

GSW -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.4	115.0	123.0	105.7
season	13.5	13.8		109.8	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.2	16.9	15.5	12.3	14.1
PHX	13.5	14.4	15.1	15.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	15	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-13	18	13.5	14.2	-0.76	17.6	14.3	3.36
Brandan Wright	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-6	4	0.0	14.1	-14.11	2.0	14.8	-12.82
Kelenna Azubuike	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-13	18	15.1	13.5	1.54	16.7	13.4	3.28
Matt Barnes	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-5	2	15.1	14.0	1.10	13.5	14.8	-1.32
Al Harrington	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	13.8	14.5	-0.73	15.7	13.4	2.31
Monta Ellis	95	95	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-8	8	13.8	20.2	-6.41	14.9	10.2	4.73
Andris Biedrins	43	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.7	0.91	13.2	15.8	-2.60
Baron Davis	96	96	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-5	2	14.1	14.5	-0.41	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Mickael Pietrus	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	4	-16	14.5	12.5	2.02	14.3	16.2	-1.81
Stephen Jackson	66	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	10	-28	13.5	15.3	-1.79	13.5	17.1	-3.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	14.4	16.3	-1.85	14.1	14.3	-0.20
Raja Bell	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.0	13.8	1.18	14.9	11.8	3.13
Steve Nash	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	0	8	14.7	14.6	0.12	14.7	12.3	2.39
Leandro Barbosa	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	2	4	15.2	13.9	1.33	14.6	13.5	1.13
Grant Hill	76	78	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	15.0	13.6	1.46	13.5	16.2	-2.71
Boris Diaw	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	11	-14	14.1	16.1	-2.01	13.7	15.0	-1.22
Shaquille O'Neal	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-1	10	14.9	14.6	0.35	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Gordan Giricek	29	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	14	-20	13.9	15.0	-1.17	12.4	14.9	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 73, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.8%