NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	6.3 [522]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +35.8%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	2.0 [842]		LVP	Chris Wilcox (SEA): -16.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.10	0.02	14	66%	0.25	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.04
Nick Collison	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	71%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.05	11	62%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	16	35%	-0.10	3	-0.07	5	20%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.26	0.11	0.02	16	76%	0.36	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	19	52%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.00	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	30.5	15.5	27.0	1.8	31.2	131.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +5.1%

IND +8.4%

IND +18.4%

IND +15.6%

IND +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	13.4	14.7	15.4	104.9	110.7	105.7
season	14.5	13.8		99.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.0	12.4	12.4	15.0	13.4
IND	13.2	15.9	14.3	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	58	58	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-13	19	13.6	13.1	0.49	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Damien Wilkins	36	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	12.6	13.8	-1.16	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Mickael Gelabale	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-9	11	13.8	13.1	0.77	15.5	14.1	1.35
Luke Ridnour	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-7	7	12.9	13.9	-0.93	14.1	15.4	-1.35
Earl Watson	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	13.7	13.0	0.65	15.6	13.6	2.07
Jeff Green	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	2	-11	13.5	13.2	0.27	15.4	13.4	2.01
Chris Wilcox	61	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	0	-7	13.2	13.7	-0.57	14.2	15.6	-1.43
Kevin Durant	79	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	1	-9	13.4	13.4	0.00	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Johan Petro	56	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	7	-21	13.6	13.2	0.44	15.1	14.3	0.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	87	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	14.4	16.1	-1.69	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Danny Granger	84	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-6	19	14.7	14.8	-0.11	12.9	15.2	-2.31
David Harrison	44	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-5	17	13.4	15.6	-2.21	13.7	13.2	0.53
Travis Diener	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.16	9	-2	11	15.5	13.0	2.46	13.6	13.0	0.62
Mike Dunleavy	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	15.0	13.6	1.40	13.7	12.5	1.22
Kareem Rush	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	7	-7	14.2	14.8	-0.56	15.9	12.8	3.18
Ronald Murray	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	9	-11	13.0	15.5	-2.46	13.0	13.6	-0.62
Jeff Foster	70	71	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	15	-23	15.6	12.7	2.95	13.6	12.9	0.75
Marquis Daniels	29	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	14	-21	14.6	14.7	-0.16	12.0	13.9	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
DET 76, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%