inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 87 Excitement6.1 [562] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +15.9%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback1.2 [1051] LVPMaurice Evans (ORL): -11.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kris Humphries0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.01-0.04853%0.0900.0030%-0.08
Anthony Parker0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.030.011463%0.062-0.032100%0.01
T.J. Ford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.011367%0.257-0.23475%-0.00
Primoz Brezec0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03325%0.0100.0020%0.00
Maceo Baston0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00440%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Jose Calderon-0.020,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001450%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00725%-0.0500.002100%0.02
Jamario Moon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00737%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.00714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.001125%-0.1000.002100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.120.011068%0.243-0.08862%-0.04
Rashard Lewis0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.020.011381%0.223-0.081100%0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.060.003100%0.1200.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.011154%0.111-0.022100%0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.040.041663%0.163-0.09667%-0.02
Marcin Gortat00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.010.00250%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02747%0.012-0.021100%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01743%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00714%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.529.516.626.71.631.4130.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +64.8%
TOR -1.7%
TOR -13.3%
TOR -1.5%
ORL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORORLNBATORORLNBA
this game15.513.715.488.8103.0105.7
season15.615.1108.5109.9
opponent15.615.7104.6105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.414.516.115.215.5
ORL13.113.213.914.813.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Primoz Brezec16160.04-0.540.580.07-1-141315.615.50.1414.113.70.46
Maceo Baston22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-131117.515.52.0314.013.70.27
Joey Graham22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-131117.515.52.0314.013.70.27
T.J. Ford3634-0.20-0.300.100.07-9-6-314.716.0-1.2513.413.9-0.59
Rasho Nesterovic3839-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-8-7-116.614.81.7513.613.8-0.20
Jamario Moon6870-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-141315.216.3-1.1413.614.0-0.32
Jason Kapono3940-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-5-514.116.4-2.3413.813.70.06
Kris Humphries3433-0.25-0.25-0.010.07-11-4-715.515.5-0.0213.413.9-0.47
Carlos Delfino5253-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.11-6-9316.015.01.0414.712.71.99
Andrea Bargnani5758-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-8115.016.2-1.2212.914.9-1.99
Anthony Parker7879-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-10515.814.21.6514.012.71.30
Jose Calderon6869-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.05-13-2-1116.014.41.6513.813.60.20

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard60600.78-0.281.070.0525-103513.114.7-1.6616.414.02.42
Keith Bogans52520.430.070.350.041321113.913.50.4315.116.0-0.88
Rashard Lewis78760.390.110.280.04123913.415.0-1.6615.515.5-0.05
Carlos Arroyo40390.350.150.200.0996314.113.50.6515.515.5-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu83820.310.190.120.02105513.713.70.0615.515.7-0.21
Jameer Nelson60590.150.35-0.20-0.0887113.514.2-0.6915.515.50.04
Brian Cook38390.080.42-0.350.05114-1314.713.11.5815.715.40.26
Maurice Evans54540.030.47-0.440.09-217-1913.913.60.3315.215.9-0.68
Marcin Gortat110.000.50-0.500.00015-1515.013.71.2821.015.55.55
Adonal Foyle2928-0.010.51-0.530.02-116-1714.113.60.4714.615.9-1.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 74, HOU 840.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.96,193.8%
HOU 71, POR 770.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,193.8%
IND 97, SEA 1040.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,193.7%