NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	122		Excitement	5.4 [709]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +24.8%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	1.0 [231]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.07	0.04	19	73%	0.31	4	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	18	59%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	9	82%	0.18	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.03	0.06	7	76%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
David Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Andre Owens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Diener	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.05	0.06	14	81%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	25	54%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	9	68%	0.05	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	17	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	28.8	15.8	23.3	1.8	29.3	126.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.7%

IND +13.5%

IND +1.6%

IND +4.7%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	15.4	120.8	109.9	105.7
season	13.8	15.6		104.5	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	13.5	13.7	13.9	13.8
TOR	16.0	14.2	15.7	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	89	90	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-9	29	13.6	15.4	-1.85	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Marquis Daniels	80	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	3	5	13.5	14.9	-1.42	14.4	16.0	-1.54
Mike Dunleavy	84	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	0	11	13.5	15.3	-1.82	14.1	17.9	-3.79
Troy Murphy	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.3	12.8	1.46	15.8	12.7	3.12
Jeff Foster	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	3	5	14.6	13.4	1.20	14.9	14.6	0.33
Kareem Rush	87	84	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	11	-11	14.1	11.8	2.32	14.8	14.2	0.67
David Harrison	12	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	6	-1	11.7	14.1	-2.31	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Stephen Graham	44	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	16	-21	13.6	13.9	-0.34	14.5	14.9	-0.47
Andre Owens	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	15.6	13.6	1.92	17.4	14.5	2.90

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	7	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-13	15	14.3	14.8	-0.48	14.6	13.7	0.85
Kris Humphries	4	5	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-13	15	17.0	14.6	2.36	14.8	13.7	1.07
Rasho Nesterovic	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-5	-1	18.6	14.4	4.23	12.9	13.9	-0.99
Chris Bosh	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-2	-7	16.8	14.3	2.53	14.4	13.6	0.79
T.J. Ford	61	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-12	13	13.3	16.9	-3.55	13.5	14.2	-0.65
Jason Kapono	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-10	9	14.8	14.7	0.16	13.8	13.7	0.08
Jamario Moon	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-10	9	15.8	13.8	2.01	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Carlos Delfino	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	13.7	16.3	-2.64	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Jose Calderon	86	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	14.6	15.3	-0.63	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Anthony Parker	88	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.1	11.7	2.31
Andrea Bargnani	85	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.08	-16	5	-21	15.0	13.2	1.76	13.8	13.8	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
PHX 140, TOR 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 105, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%