NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	5.4 [716]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +20.2%
New Jersey Nets	120		Comeback	1.1 [875]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (MIL): -6.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.01	21	60%	0.15	3	-0.09	13	69%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	16	69%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	20	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	10	60%	-0.03
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.06	-0.02	13	68%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	56%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.02	0.06	5	108%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	13	66%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.00
Sean Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	31.8	14.7	28.3	1.8	33.2	137.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +17.4%

NJN +7.8%

NJN +0.9%

NJN +21.1%

NJN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.4	115.2	130.4	105.7
season	15.8	15.4		103.4	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.4	14.3	15.3	16.0	16.0
NJN	14.3	15.1	14.7	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	4	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-16	18	17.5	15.9	1.61	11.6	15.6	-3.96
Charlie Villanueva	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-19	24	15.4	16.6	-1.18	16.1	14.4	1.67
Jake Voskuhl	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-10	6	2.7	16.6	-13.81	15.7	15.3	0.42
Royal Ivey	13	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-8	2	18.8	15.5	3.37	14.1	15.5	-1.45
Michael Ruffin	31	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-7	0	19.1	14.4	4.74	13.0	16.4	-3.43
Desmond Mason	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-4	-6	14.9	18.5	-3.63	15.6	14.7	0.86
Andrew Bogut	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-13	12	15.3	18.2	-2.92	16.1	13.1	2.97
Charlie Bell	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-2	-10	17.3	15.0	2.36	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Michael Redd	82	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	15.9	16.8	-0.95	15.3	15.4	-0.02
Mo Williams	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-6	-2	15.6	18.8	-3.19	15.6	12.7	2.97
Yi Jianlian	19	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	4	-22	18.1	15.4	2.71	14.4	15.6	-1.23

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	40	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-3	20	13.4	16.8	-3.45	17.3	14.9	2.38
Vince Carter	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	0	14	15.2	15.9	-0.71	16.0	15.7	0.32
Stromile Swift	38	38	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-2	18	14.7	15.8	-1.04	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Bostjan Nachbar	29	30	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	0	14	17.1	14.6	2.51	18.3	14.8	3.43
DeSagana Diop	39	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	4	6	14.6	15.9	-1.32	17.6	14.8	2.83
Trenton Hassell	31	29	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	5	4	14.8	15.6	-0.77	14.8	16.5	-1.75
Josh Boone	48	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	9	-4	15.8	14.9	0.93	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Richard Jefferson	74	76	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	13	-12	15.6	14.2	1.47	15.6	17.4	-1.79
Marcus Williams	57	57	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	18	-22	16.9	12.9	3.97	14.5	18.3	-3.85
Sean Williams	5	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	16	-18	11.6	15.6	-3.96	17.5	15.9	1.61
Nenad Krstic	31	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.14	-10	24	-34	15.3	15.4	-0.04	16.0	15.9	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 82, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIA 87, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%