NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	7.0 [383]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +16.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	113		Comeback	1.7 [921]		LVP	Raja Bell (PHX): -6.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	15	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	17	50%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.04	0.07	11	89%	0.23	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.01	0.04	13	83%	0.19	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	83%	0.20	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	65%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Linton Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.01	12	37%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.00	0.02	27	62%	0.21	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	12	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	18	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	15	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	33.3	16.3	24.6	2.5	26.3	127.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +59.9%

MEM -5.0%

PHX +19.0%

MEM -19.7%

MEM -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	12.7	15.9	15.4	125.7	111.9	105.7
season	13.8	14.9		111.1	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.6		109.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.0	12.0	13.8	12.9	12.7
MEM	16.4	15.1	15.0	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	71	71	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.02	25	-11	36	12.5	13.0	-0.43	16.4	14.7	1.69
Boris Diaw	63	63	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.02	23	-9	32	12.7	12.6	0.09	16.1	15.4	0.65
Grant Hill	77	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	1	12	13.0	11.5	1.47	16.2	14.6	1.67
Steve Nash	84	85	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-3	20	12.1	15.4	-3.23	16.0	15.2	0.79
Raja Bell	79	77	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	12	-10	13.1	11.0	2.13	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	67	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.20	5	9	-4	12.6	12.9	-0.33	15.6	16.4	-0.89
DJ Strawberry	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	17	-20	11.7	12.7	-1.02	16.6	15.8	0.77
Linton Johnson	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	19	-24	16.2	12.5	3.73	17.0	15.8	1.20
Shaquille O'Neal	53	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	21	-28	12.5	12.9	-0.44	14.8	17.0	-2.19

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	44	46	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.06	10	-24	34	15.3	16.3	-0.94	13.3	12.1	1.22
Jason Collins	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-12	10	13.8	16.2	-2.41	10.2	13.1	-2.84
Kyle Lowry	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-10	6	15.3	16.2	-0.87	12.9	12.5	0.35
Javaris Crittenton	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-9	4	15.7	15.9	-0.20	11.4	13.0	-1.60
Brian Cardinal	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	16.3	15.6	0.70	13.2	12.3	0.90
Mike Conley	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	16.2	15.3	0.87	12.5	12.9	-0.35
Juan Carlos Navarro	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	15.8	16.6	-0.83	12.6	12.9	-0.26
Hakim Warrick	93	94	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	4	-22	16.1	12.9	3.23	12.8	10.6	2.25
Rudy Gay	95	95	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.10	-20	6	-26	16.1	11.8	4.27	12.6	13.2	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.33,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.4%
CLE 98, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.05,0	91.9%
SEA 95, POR 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.7%