NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	5.0 [817]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +25.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	6.0 [401]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -10.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.07	0.00	14	100%	0.36	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.04	0.05	8	100%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	14	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	-0.00	0.11	8	88%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Glen Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	15	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.09	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	3	70%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	12	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	0.11	8	75%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	29.0	15.5	32.2	1.7	30.0	136.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +62.4%

POR -13.0%

BOS +6.0%

POR -4.1%

POR -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	17.9	15.4	125.8	115.9	105.7
season	15.6	16.7		108.0	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		106.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	13.9	12.8	15.7	14.7
POR	19.4	18.8	18.8	15.0	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-4	18	14.9	13.2	1.68	18.7	13.5	5.11
Rajon Rondo	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	14.8	14.4	0.39	18.1	17.4	0.73
Kendrick Perkins	24	23	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-2	14	12.7	15.4	-2.62	20.3	17.0	3.32
Ray Allen	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	14.9	14.0	0.84	17.8	18.1	-0.32
James Posey	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	3	4	14.4	15.1	-0.75	16.8	19.6	-2.83
Kevin Garnett	55	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	4	2	15.4	13.5	1.88	19.1	16.1	2.91
Glen Davis	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	13.5	15.4	-1.88	16.6	18.7	-2.09
Tony Allen	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	8	-6	13.8	15.0	-1.14	16.1	18.6	-2.49
Eddie House	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	6	-2	14.0	15.0	-1.02	16.8	18.4	-1.63
Leon Powe	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	12	-14	13.2	14.9	-1.73	15.7	18.2	-2.49
Scot Pollard	10	9	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.13	-13	23	-36	22.6	13.7	8.94	20.2	17.6	2.59

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-9	8	16.0	18.3	-2.29	13.6	14.9	-1.27
Martell Webster	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-10	10	16.2	20.1	-3.91	14.4	15.0	-0.67
Raef LaFrentz	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-9	8	15.5	18.8	-3.35	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Brandon Roy	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-2	-6	19.7	15.9	3.78	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Steve Blake	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-9	8	17.3	19.1	-1.85	15.3	13.5	1.80
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	19.1	15.8	3.28	15.5	13.0	2.52
Joel Przybilla	52	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	19.9	15.0	4.90	14.7	14.6	0.13
Jarrett Jack	78	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	17.7	19.6	-1.92	15.0	11.4	3.58
Travis Outlaw	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	4	-18	17.4	18.9	-1.44	14.0	16.0	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
GSW 112, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.18,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
NYK 121, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	92.9%