NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	2.9 [1185]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +14.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	1.0 [1237]		LVP	Rashad McCants (MIN): -7.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	18	59%	0.15	1	-0.00	13	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	79%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	6	79%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby Karl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	16	53%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	18	51%	0.06	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	46%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.3	31.6	15.7	24.2	2.7	23.3	126.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.8%

LAL +7.9%

MIN -0.6%

LAL +14.2%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.1	15.0	15.4	113.6	90.2	105.7
season	14.6	15.9		110.6	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		109.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.5	13.8	14.0	12.3	13.1
MIN	14.2	15.5	16.6	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	73	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.43	32	-7	39	13.3	12.7	0.61	15.4	14.1	1.27
Lamar Odom	76	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.29	24	1	23	12.9	13.6	-0.72	15.1	14.9	0.21
Pau Gasol	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.40	25	0	25	13.0	13.3	-0.27	15.1	14.9	0.22
Derek Fisher	52	51	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	8	9	13.2	13.0	0.23	16.1	13.9	2.25
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	10	5	14.0	12.6	1.45	16.2	14.3	1.85
Jordan Farmar	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	17	-9	13.0	13.2	-0.23	13.9	16.1	-2.25
Luke Walton	46	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	25	-25	12.6	13.5	-0.84	14.4	15.5	-1.05
Ronny Turiaf	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	25	-25	13.6	12.7	0.86	15.4	14.7	0.71
Sasha Vujacic	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	19	-13	12.8	13.3	-0.53	13.7	16.0	-2.34
DJ Mbenga	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	25	-25	13.1	13.1	0.02	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Coby Karl	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	12.2	13.2	-1.05	14.6	15.1	-0.48

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-29	33	14.3	15.2	-0.85	12.3	13.3	-1.08
Greg Buckner	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-24	23	14.5	15.0	-0.54	15.2	13.0	2.20
Michael Doleac	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-15	5	16.6	14.6	2.02	14.5	12.7	1.73
Antoine Walker	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-16	7	13.8	15.8	-1.99	12.9	13.2	-0.24
Corey Brewer	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-18	11	14.0	16.0	-1.94	13.2	13.0	0.27
Craig Smith	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-23	21	14.8	15.2	-0.41	12.8	13.3	-0.50
Rashad McCants	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-17	9	14.2	15.5	-1.28	12.3	13.6	-1.33
Randy Foye	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-15	5	14.6	15.7	-1.06	12.7	13.8	-1.08
Ryan Gomes	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.34	-22	-3	-19	15.5	14.5	1.04	13.1	13.1	-0.04
Sebastian Telfair	59	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	-4	-17	15.1	14.8	0.30	13.0	13.3	-0.36
Al Jefferson	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	-4	-17	15.8	13.8	1.97	13.1	13.1	0.03
Marko Jaric	41	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-7	-11	16.7	13.9	2.76	14.5	12.2	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CHI 110, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%