NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	6.7 [432]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +12.1%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.1 [800]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -11.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	44%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.07	-0.02	20	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.09
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	45%	0.01	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	11	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.10	-0.03	19	43%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	12	64%	0.20	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	78%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	33%	-0.10
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.4	29.4	17.5	27.3	2.4	31.6	136.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.1%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +12.6%

PHI -17.8%

PHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	18.7	15.4	98.8	108.5	105.7
season	15.2	15.7		104.0	103.1
opponent	15.2	16.2		109.9	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	16.5	16.0	17.3	16.4
NYK	16.7	17.8	16.7	25.1	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	18.9	15.9	3.06	16.8	19.1	-2.33
Rodney Carney	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	18.6	16.2	2.38	15.6	19.0	-3.46
Jason Smith	36	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-7	6	15.3	17.2	-1.93	18.3	19.0	-0.75
Lou Williams	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	15.3	17.0	-1.77	20.8	17.4	3.41
Thaddeus Young	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-4	0	16.7	16.3	0.42	18.7	18.7	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	72	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-9	10	16.5	15.8	0.67	19.3	14.3	5.05
Reggie Evans	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-6	4	16.2	16.7	-0.44	18.6	19.0	-0.35
Willie Green	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	16.8	15.6	1.30	17.8	20.4	-2.66
Andre Miller	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	16.1	17.7	-1.64	18.2	21.2	-3.02
Samuel Dalembert	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	16.6	16.0	0.67	19.6	17.2	2.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	66	65	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-2	12	19.1	17.2	1.84	16.8	14.8	1.98
Quentin Richardson	59	60	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-4	16	18.3	19.7	-1.40	16.7	15.6	1.03
Jamal Crawford	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	18.4	25.0	-6.59	16.3	17.3	-1.02
Nate Robinson	47	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	18.8	18.6	0.18	15.7	17.2	-1.51
David Lee	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	7	-6	18.2	19.4	-1.23	15.0	18.3	-3.26
Mardy Collins	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	18.7	18.7	0.01	17.7	15.7	2.01
Jared Jeffries	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	10	-12	20.5	17.7	2.74	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Renaldo Balkman	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	17.0	19.2	-2.15	15.2	16.7	-1.46
Eddy Curry	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	19.2	18.2	1.04	17.5	15.2	2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.6%
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.5%
ATL 83, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.6,0.8,0.96,0.96,0.96,1	92.4%