NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	114		Excitement	5.8 [631]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +30.8%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	3.3 [785]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (MIL): -9.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.21	-0.01	0.03	16	81%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Charlie Bell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.02	0.03	10	90%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	12	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	49%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Michael Ruffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.27	0.07	0.04	17	92%	0.39	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	16	74%	0.26	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	15	68%	0.22	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	27.0	18.8	27.2	1.8	31.0	129.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.2%

PHX +17.2%

PHX +5.3%

MIL -0.6%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.4	126.7	134.1	105.7
season	15.8	13.8		103.4	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.5	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.1	16.0	18.0	15.7	16.9
PHX	14.0	13.4	14.7	17.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	28	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-8	8	17.1	16.8	0.28	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Charlie Villanueva	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	16.1	17.5	-1.42	15.0	14.9	0.09
Royal Ivey	25	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-5	2	15.8	17.4	-1.59	15.7	14.6	1.16
Charlie Bell	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-11	14	16.0	19.4	-3.45	15.2	14.3	0.92
Mo Williams	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-5	2	17.3	16.3	1.07	15.3	14.3	1.05
Bobby Simmons	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-6	4	17.0	16.7	0.26	14.9	14.9	0.00
Andrew Bogut	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-7	6	16.6	18.1	-1.53	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Yi Jianlian	31	31	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	9	-26	19.5	15.6	3.88	14.0	15.4	-1.35
Michael Redd	71	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	8	-24	17.4	15.1	2.29	14.7	15.8	-1.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	74	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.15	19	-11	30	14.9	15.1	-0.17	17.4	14.6	2.77
Boris Diaw	71	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-3	14	15.0	14.6	0.35	16.8	17.2	-0.37
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	15.1	14.3	0.74	17.0	16.4	0.58
Steve Nash	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-2	12	14.8	15.3	-0.52	17.6	15.4	2.20
Shawn Marion	76	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	15.1	13.9	1.26	16.3	19.5	-3.16
Leandro Barbosa	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	10	-12	14.7	15.2	-0.46	16.4	17.4	-0.94
Brian Skinner	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	15.0	14.9	0.06	17.5	16.6	0.89
Marcus Banks	22	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	15	-22	14.5	15.1	-0.56	15.5	17.4	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 115, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	93.8%
ATL 117, NJN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.4%
MIL 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%