NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	5.6 [660]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	1.3 [1212]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (MIL): -15.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	17	63%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	21	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	11	59%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.22	0.01	0.06	25	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.00	0.01	13	74%	0.16	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Luke Walton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	6	71%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	42%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Coby Karl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	4	42%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	13	27%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	38.3	18.7	24.2	3.5	33.2	147.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +16.7%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +15.6%

LAL +8.2%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.4	107.1	117.0	105.7
season	15.8	14.6		103.4	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.7	12.5	18.5	14.4	15.6
LAL	14.1	13.7	15.0	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	39	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	14.6	16.2	-1.66	14.6	14.3	0.32
Charlie Villanueva	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-5	5	14.6	16.0	-1.44	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Michael Redd	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.40	9	-14	23	14.2	17.1	-2.89	15.2	13.4	1.79
Bobby Simmons	53	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	3	-11	17.6	13.2	4.41	13.7	15.2	-1.42
Royal Ivey	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	17.0	14.3	2.70	15.8	13.3	2.54
Yi Jianlian	66	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	16.0	14.6	1.44	14.6	14.1	0.47
Charlie Bell	54	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	3	-11	13.8	17.8	-4.01	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Mo Williams	91	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	15.5	16.3	-0.78	13.9	20.4	-6.50
Andrew Bogut	59	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	4	-13	16.2	14.6	1.66	14.3	14.6	-0.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	67	71	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.23	19	-14	33	14.9	13.1	1.83	16.8	12.3	4.46
Andrew Bynum	72	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-13	31	14.1	15.4	-1.30	16.1	13.8	2.32
Lamar Odom	74	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	3	-1	14.8	13.0	1.80	16.2	13.1	3.14
Derek Fisher	46	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-11	27	13.6	15.2	-1.66	18.0	13.2	4.74
Luke Walton	60	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	4	-3	13.7	15.6	-1.88	16.6	13.7	2.83
Jordan Farmar	48	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	16	-27	15.2	13.6	1.66	13.2	18.0	-4.74
Trevor Ariza	39	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	8	-11	15.6	13.5	2.10	14.1	16.6	-2.43
Ronny Turiaf	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	2	1	13.0	14.8	-1.80	13.1	16.2	-3.14
Coby Karl	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	8	-11	9.6	14.9	-5.37	11.4	16.0	-4.53
Javaris Crittenton	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	14.5	14.4	0.14	10.9	16.2	-5.29
Kwame Brown	22	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	18	-31	15.4	14.1	1.30	13.8	16.1	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, UTA 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DET 85, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	95.0%
TOR 74, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%