NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	3.7 [1049]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +12.5%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.0 [1004]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -5.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	-0.02	0.02	-0.12	30	53%	0.16	6	-0.04	15	80%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	72%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	2	117%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	13	35%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	18	57%	0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	17	66%	0.13	6	-0.13	7	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	5	46%	0.00	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	28.2	17.5	25.3	2.5	34.2	133.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +21.5%

TOR +8.1%

TOR +5.1%

TOR +16.0%

NYK -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.4	111.2	103.4	105.7
season	15.6	15.7		108.5	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	16.8	17.3	19.1	17.2
NYK	16.5	16.7	17.8	11.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	83	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-3	15	17.2	17.7	-0.51	15.4	17.1	-1.77
Jose Calderon	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-4	17	17.1	17.4	-0.27	15.7	14.9	0.79
Anthony Parker	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	2	5	17.1	17.5	-0.33	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Jamario Moon	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	-4	17	17.0	18.1	-1.07	15.9	14.1	1.81
Andrea Bargnani	33	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	14.2	19.0	-4.78	16.1	15.1	0.95
Kris Humphries	41	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	11	-13	19.5	15.2	4.30	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Rasho Nesterovic	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	6	-3	17.5	17.1	0.33	16.6	15.3	1.26
Jason Kapono	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	5	-1	18.6	17.0	1.58	15.2	15.6	-0.33
Carlos Delfino	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	17.8	17.0	0.81	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Darrick Martin	17	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	17.4	17.1	0.27	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Joey Graham	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	12	-15	16.9	17.2	-0.34	16.6	15.4	1.22

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-11	13	16.0	15.4	0.59	18.0	16.9	1.14
Malik Rose	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-6	3	18.3	15.3	3.01	21.4	16.8	4.60
Jared Jeffries	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-10	11	16.6	14.6	2.04	16.6	17.6	-1.02
Quentin Richardson	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	2	-13	17.1	15.3	1.82	12.9	17.9	-4.94
David Lee	64	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-14	19	14.8	17.4	-2.55	17.7	15.9	1.78
Zach Randolph	18	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	6	-21	17.3	15.0	2.29	14.5	18.0	-3.47
Eddy Curry	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	7	-23	16.9	14.9	1.99	16.5	17.5	-0.96
Nate Robinson	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-11	13	15.3	17.1	-1.82	17.9	12.9	4.94
Jamal Crawford	79	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.67	16.9	20.2	-3.36
Stephon Marbury	69	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	4	-17	15.5	15.4	0.09	17.1	17.5	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	96.0%
DAL 105, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
BOS 113, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%