NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	3.6 [1088]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +18.3%
Utah Jazz	82		Comeback	1.2 [850]		LVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): -13.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	0.02	0.04	18	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	12	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jameer Nelson	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.05	9	71%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.03	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	4	67%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	10	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	26.5	15.7	30.5	1.8	25.4	125.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +17.2%

DAL +3.7%

DAL +4.1%

DAL +24.7%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.1	118.0	91.1	104.2
season	14.6	16.2		107.6	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	13.8	17.3	20.4	16.6
UTA	15.9	16.2	16.2	13.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	55	53	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.15	28	-5	33	15.9	17.8	-1.89	16.0	15.1	0.91
Chandler Parsons	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	2	19	15.2	18.5	-3.28	17.7	12.8	4.98
Monta Ellis	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	6	11	16.1	17.4	-1.29	17.7	12.7	4.98
Tyson Chandler	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	3	17	15.4	18.6	-3.18	17.5	12.6	4.94
Jameer Nelson	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	9	5	17.5	15.8	1.67	17.5	14.0	3.58
Devin Harris	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	14	-5	15.1	17.9	-2.73	14.6	16.5	-1.91
Jose Juan Barea	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	17	-11	17.4	16.1	1.29	12.5	17.7	-5.18
Al-Farouq Aminu	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	19	-15	17.7	15.9	1.80	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Brandan Wright	47	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	17.6	15.5	2.16	14.8	16.5	-1.75
Richard Jefferson	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	20.1	16.2	3.91	12.2	16.0	-3.81
Jae Crowder	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	20.0	16.3	3.70	11.4	16.0	-4.63
Greg Smith	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	20.5	16.3	4.19	10.3	16.0	-5.75
Charlie Villanueva	9	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	29	-35	20.7	16.1	4.53	9.1	16.5	-7.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	11.4	16.0	-4.63	20.0	16.3	3.70
Ian Clark	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	13.3	16.0	-2.67	21.7	15.8	5.96
Jeremy Evans	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-21	19	9.9	16.1	-6.27	19.1	16.3	2.78
Rodney Hood	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-20	17	14.7	15.7	-0.97	14.6	16.9	-2.24
Dante Exum	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-17	11	13.7	18.1	-4.39	17.6	15.3	2.25
Rudy Gobert	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-15	7	14.4	16.7	-2.29	18.5	14.8	3.71
Trevor Booker	25	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-18	13	15.6	15.6	0.07	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Gordon Hayward	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-16	9	16.5	14.4	2.10	16.0	17.5	-1.56
Joe Ingles	33	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-10	-3	13.7	16.7	-3.04	16.3	16.8	-0.50
Enes Kanter	47	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-5	-13	17.3	13.7	3.58	15.9	17.4	-1.46
Derrick Favors	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-10	-3	16.6	14.4	2.20	15.1	18.3	-3.24
Trey Burke	49	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-5	-13	17.4	13.4	3.95	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Alec Burks	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	-3	-17	16.7	13.5	3.26	16.7	16.5	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BOS 104, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
TOR 99, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.8%