NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	118		Excitement	7.4 [312]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +30.3%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	5.8 [60]		LVP	Ryan Bowen (NOH): -9.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.02	0.28	0.00	26	48%	0.33	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	10	96%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	20	57%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	12	68%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	17	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	5	40%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	11	63%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.06	0.03	19	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.01	9	71%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	73%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.13	0.00	14	70%	0.11	4	-0.18	5	60%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.3	15.4	27.8	2.0	28.3	127.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +29.0%

PHX -17.7%

NOH +15.8%

NOH +24.6%

PHX -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	13.5	15.4	122.9	117.7	105.7
season	15.9	13.8		109.6	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.5	16.2	15.8	17.8	16.5
PHX	11.2	13.2	12.3	18.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	86	87	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-8	21	16.2	19.6	-3.45	13.1	17.1	-4.00
Jannero Pargo	71	71	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-9	23	16.5	16.6	-0.12	13.2	14.2	-1.01
Tyson Chandler	77	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-4	13	16.6	16.1	0.57	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Chris Paul	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	16.5	0.0	16.51	13.5	0.0	13.49
Morris Peterson	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	0	5	16.7	15.8	0.83	12.9	15.7	-2.80
Hilton Armstrong	19	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	9	-13	16.1	16.6	-0.57	14.0	13.4	0.59
Ryan Bowen	18	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	17.8	16.2	1.56	18.1	12.5	5.62
Marcus Vinicius	12	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	15.5	16.7	-1.15	12.9	13.6	-0.66
Bobby Jackson	23	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	14	-23	17.0	16.4	0.59	14.5	13.2	1.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	17	15	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-12	19	12.2	13.8	-1.60	15.7	16.7	-0.92
Marcus Banks	39	38	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-8	11	14.2	13.0	1.16	16.4	16.6	-0.10
Raja Bell	6	7	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	8.5	13.8	-5.32	15.0	16.6	-1.63
Grant Hill	78	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.5	-1.24	16.1	18.2	-2.12
Boris Diaw	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.37	1	-6	7	14.4	12.0	2.38	16.7	16.2	0.53
Shawn Marion	68	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	0	-5	12.9	14.9	-1.93	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Steve Nash	68	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	0	-5	12.9	14.9	-1.93	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	3	-11	13.8	12.7	1.09	17.0	15.3	1.74
Leandro Barbosa	74	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.32	-15	10	-25	14.1	11.4	2.70	16.7	16.0	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.15,0	91.8%
MIA 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.04,0	91.6%
ATL 91, WAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.02,0	91.1%