NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	2.0 [1297]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +11.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	77		Comeback	1.0 [896]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (MIL): -8.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	15	69%	0.11	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	78%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Caron Butler	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	5	20%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	6	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	67%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	33%	0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.08	15	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	46%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	23.3	15.7	23.6	2.0	28.2	117.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.8%

MIL -1.4%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +8.3%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.4	109.8	84.6	105.7
season	16.1	15.8		106.8	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	18.9	14.2	16.1	15.7
MIL	17.5	15.4	15.2	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	63	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.54	38	-14	52	15.4	16.1	-0.69	15.9	15.7	0.13
DeShawn Stevenson	55	55	0.55	-0.04	0.59	-0.54	37	-13	50	15.5	15.9	-0.34	16.2	15.2	0.98
Antonio Daniels	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.41	30	-6	36	15.0	16.9	-1.87	16.1	15.2	0.99
Caron Butler	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.34	27	-3	30	15.5	16.1	-0.63	16.4	14.2	2.12
Brendan Haywood	44	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.40	28	-4	32	16.0	15.4	0.60	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Darius Songaila	49	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	27	-30	16.2	15.1	1.07	16.4	15.2	1.13
Andray Blatche	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	31	-38	14.9	16.1	-1.24	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Nick Young	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	16.1	15.5	0.57	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Roger Mason Jr.	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.37	-13	37	-50	16.5	14.9	1.57	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Dominic McGuire	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	35	-46	16.4	15.5	0.89	13.9	16.3	-2.36

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Awvee Storey	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-30	36	15.8	15.8	-0.04	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Michael Ruffin	34	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-26	28	16.4	15.5	0.96	15.0	16.1	-1.04
Charlie Bell	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.31	-19	-5	-14	16.4	15.3	1.05	17.3	14.3	2.99
Charlie Villanueva	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-19	14	15.9	15.6	0.29	16.1	14.9	1.20
Bobby Simmons	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.26	-19	-5	-14	16.6	14.7	1.92	14.6	17.1	-2.41
Royal Ivey	65	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-18	12	15.5	16.5	-1.02	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Andrew Bogut	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.36	-25	1	-26	15.5	16.2	-0.68	16.2	14.9	1.35
Yi Jianlian	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	0	-24	14.9	17.9	-3.01	15.0	16.9	-1.87
Mo Williams	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.38	-30	6	-36	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.9	15.2	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 108, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 104, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
WAS 93, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%