NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	2.1 [774]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +6.3%
Chicago Bulls	78		Comeback	1.0 [704]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -12.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.04	12	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	4	40%	0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	11	58%	0.03	5	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bison Dele	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	11	74%	0.04	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Loy Vaught	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	83%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	5	0%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	-0.04	11	29%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	26.2	15.7	25.0	1.6	25.6	118.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.5%

CHI -2.1%

DET +7.9%

DET +4.3%

DET +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.8	118.7	85.7	99.6
season	16.6	16.7		101.4	90.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.6	17.4	12.9	16.2	15.2
CHI	15.4	17.7	17.1	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	54	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	3	24	13.9	17.1	-3.26	17.0	15.7	1.28
Joe Dumars	43	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	3	24	13.3	16.9	-3.60	16.8	16.2	0.58
Don Reid	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.68	37	-7	44	13.1	17.1	-3.99	16.8	16.1	0.71
Lindsey Hunter	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.49	30	0	30	14.9	15.9	-1.04	16.5	16.4	0.04
Bison Dele	36	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.25	20	10	10	13.6	16.2	-2.59	16.7	16.3	0.36
Jerome Williams	58	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	17	-4	14.6	16.2	-1.58	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Jerry Stackhouse	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	21	-12	16.1	13.8	2.28	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Eric Montross	38	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	35	-40	18.0	13.1	4.89	16.3	16.6	-0.28
Jud Buechler	43	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	29	-28	17.5	13.1	4.34	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Corey Beck	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	34	-38	17.0	14.8	2.16	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Loy Vaught	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	35	-40	25.4	14.3	11.11	16.0	16.5	-0.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	34	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	-24	18	15.9	16.8	-0.99	15.5	15.0	0.49
Rusty LaRue	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-35	40	16.6	16.4	0.13	18.2	14.4	3.84
Corey Benjamin	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-26	22	17.6	16.0	1.69	19.0	13.4	5.56
Bill Wennington	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.27	-14	-16	2	16.1	16.6	-0.41	13.4	15.7	-2.27
Kornel David	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-19	8	16.0	16.9	-0.81	15.4	15.0	0.42
Andrew Lang	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-21	12	17.2	15.9	1.27	16.4	14.3	2.07
Dickey Simpkins	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-15	0	15.9	17.0	-1.05	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Toni Kukoc	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.25	-23	-7	-16	16.2	17.1	-0.93	14.9	15.7	-0.73
Ron Harper	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	-7	-16	17.3	15.3	1.99	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Brent Barry	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.21	-22	-8	-14	15.7	18.0	-2.31	13.7	17.7	-4.00
Randy Brown	55	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.35	-28	-2	-26	17.0	15.7	1.33	13.9	16.9	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
GSW 120, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 104, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%