NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	5.7 [655]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +9.9%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	7.3 [824]		LVP	Delonte West (SEA): -11.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	18	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	16	42%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.01	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.03	24	52%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.10	0	0.00	11	82%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	11	77%	0.17	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.06	19	64%	0.14	3	-0.07	15	73%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	12	31%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	28.3	18.8	28.1	2.8	38.3	148.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.1%

PHX +3.3%

SEA -4.8%

PHX +7.8%

SEA -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	12.6	15.4	98.0	104.0	105.7
season	14.5	13.8		99.1	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.7	21.6	18.5	13.4	16.6
PHX	13.5	11.1	11.5	13.8	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	14	14	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-16	24	12.4	17.2	-4.89	13.9	12.4	1.49
Johan Petro	16	16	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-13	18	17.0	16.5	0.54	13.0	12.5	0.50
Damien Wilkins	18	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.24	-12	4	-16	19.9	15.8	4.09	12.0	12.7	-0.70
Earl Watson	75	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.37	8	-16	24	15.8	18.9	-3.09	13.1	11.0	2.05
Kevin Durant	76	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-16	24	15.7	19.6	-3.92	13.0	11.0	1.94
Kurt Thomas	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	16.2	17.3	-1.08	13.1	11.4	1.68
Nick Collison	55	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	17.7	15.1	2.60	11.9	13.5	-1.67
Luke Ridnour	20	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	16.0	16.7	-0.69	12.3	12.7	-0.34
Delonte West	38	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	4	-16	18.4	15.4	3.05	11.4	13.3	-1.86
Wally Szczerbiak	28	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	8	-24	17.5	16.2	1.28	11.9	12.8	-0.90
Jeff Green	83	85	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.20	-13	5	-18	16.4	17.4	-1.00	12.4	13.4	-0.96

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	47	46	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-4	16	12.0	13.1	-1.01	18.0	15.3	2.73
Raja Bell	91	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-5	18	12.5	13.1	-0.58	16.3	18.7	-2.39
Shawn Marion	81	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	12.3	13.8	-1.56	16.6	16.5	0.06
Grant Hill	62	60	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-1	10	12.1	13.4	-1.31	17.4	15.2	2.19
Leandro Barbosa	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	9	-10	12.8	12.4	0.42	14.8	18.3	-3.51
Steve Nash	72	71	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	7	-6	13.1	11.3	1.75	16.7	16.3	0.40
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	71	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	13.2	10.9	2.34	15.5	19.3	-3.74
Marcus Banks	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	6	-4	11.5	12.7	-1.23	18.1	16.4	1.73
Brian Skinner	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	14	-20	12.9	12.5	0.41	19.2	16.1	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,1	93.2%
MIN 99, NOP 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
MIN 84, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%