NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	6.4 [507]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): +19.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	1.9 [399]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -20.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	16	75%	0.25	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.05	0.10	0.01	19	57%	0.20	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	11	77%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	18	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	5	33%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.02	19	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	71%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.06	21	59%	0.12	2	-0.07	12	75%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	37%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.07	0.05	12	35%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.3	14.8	27.1	2.4	38.4	135.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.8%

WAS +10.8%

WAS +2.5%

CHA -3.1%

WAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.4	112.5	108.3	105.7
season	16.1	15.8		106.8	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		107.8	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.6	15.5	16.9	13.1	15.6
CHA	15.1	15.8	15.1	12.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	92	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-4	12	15.7	13.7	1.91	14.5	12.2	2.26
Caron Butler	89	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-3	10	15.4	17.4	-1.99	14.2	17.3	-3.09
Brendan Haywood	55	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-9	22	17.1	13.5	3.62	14.7	14.0	0.73
Antawn Jamison	84	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	15.7	14.5	1.24	14.4	14.3	0.13
Nick Young	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	3	-2	12.7	17.3	-4.62	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Darius Songaila	25	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	6	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.46	16.0	13.9	2.09
Andray Blatche	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	11	-18	13.6	17.1	-3.58	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Dominic McGuire	2	3	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	17.0	15.6	1.45	13.3	14.5	-1.12
DeShawn Stevenson	55	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	9	-14	17.4	13.1	4.34	14.2	14.7	-0.42

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	0	-4	16.1	13.4	2.66	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Derek Anderson	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-12	20	13.5	15.2	-1.65	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Ryan Hollins	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.4	0.41	11.8	16.2	-4.45
Raymond Felton	76	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-7	10	14.0	15.9	-1.87	15.7	15.2	0.42
Emeka Okafor	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	2	-8	14.6	14.1	0.49	16.4	13.7	2.69
Nazr Mohammed	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	0	-4	15.1	13.5	1.57	16.6	14.0	2.62
Matt Carroll	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	2	-8	15.9	13.9	2.07	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Jason Richardson	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-2	0	13.2	17.7	-4.55	15.9	14.8	1.01
Gerald Wallace	89	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	14.5	13.7	0.76	15.4	17.4	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 118, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.23,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.0%
LAL 122, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	93.4%