NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	8.4 [176]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +44.7%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	1.9 [352]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -18.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.38	0.14	0.24	-0.00	12	77%	0.47	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.07
Brad Miller	0.38	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.34,0.38	0.11	0.27	-0.01	13	68%	0.44	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.07
John Salmons	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.03	0.02	18	76%	0.33	2	-0.12	5	60%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	15	59%	0.20	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	8	0%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.45	0.45	0.14	0.29	-0.02	19	73%	0.63	6	-0.19	11	100%	0.12
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.02	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	52%	0.03	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Sean Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	4	36%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.09
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.5	29.8	15.8	22.3	2.4	44.5	141.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.9%

SAC +26.3%

NJN -20.5%

SAC +21.3%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	15.4	107.1	104.1	105.7
season	14.9	15.4		105.6	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		107.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	14.2	16.5	14.5	15.2
NJN	12.4	16.4	14.8	13.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	89	89	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-7	19	15.1	16.7	-1.62	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Mikki Moore	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-7	19	15.5	14.7	0.87	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Francisco Garcia	54	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-3	11	14.8	15.8	-1.02	14.2	14.0	0.24
Brad Miller	83	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	1	3	15.4	14.4	0.96	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Dahntay Jones	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	3	-1	13.5	16.0	-2.50	14.4	14.0	0.42
Metta World Peace	82	79	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	7	-9	15.5	13.8	1.71	13.6	16.6	-2.97
Quincy Douby	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	7	-9	14.1	15.6	-1.42	14.4	14.1	0.36
Beno Udrih	59	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	8	-11	15.8	14.3	1.50	14.6	13.4	1.25
Spencer Hawes	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	14.0	15.3	-1.29	14.0	14.1	-0.14
Kenny Thomas	7	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	15.3	15.2	0.05	19.8	13.8	6.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	19.0	13.7	5.30	13.0	15.4	-2.44
Josh Boone	64	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-4	3	14.2	13.9	0.34	15.2	15.2	0.02
Malik Allen	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	16.3	13.2	3.10	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Darrell Armstrong	16	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	4	-13	13.5	14.3	-0.76	12.2	15.7	-3.47
Antoine Wright	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-6	7	13.7	14.8	-1.12	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Sean Williams	83	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-6	7	13.7	16.4	-2.68	15.7	12.1	3.59
Jason Kidd	75	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-4	3	13.5	16.4	-2.94	15.8	13.1	2.68
Vince Carter	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-4	3	14.9	12.2	2.71	15.6	14.1	1.50
Richard Jefferson	80	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	5	-15	13.6	16.6	-3.05	15.0	16.6	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.08,0	92.0%
PHI 86, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.08,0	91.5%
LAC 103, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.04,0,0	90.9%