NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	7.2 [347]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +38.1%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	2.4 [296]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -17.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	8	65%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	4	109%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	25	55%	0.28	6	-0.23	3	67%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	15	30%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.17	0.20	-0.01	22	67%	0.44	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.04	16	55%	0.11	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.14
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	26.2	15.8	28.6	1.8	36.2	138.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.6%

CLE -0.2%

NJN +11.9%

NJN +14.4%

CLE -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.4	110.2	115.4	105.7
season	16.4	15.4		104.0	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.5	17.4	14.6	17.7	16.7
NJN	15.3	16.1	14.2	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	25	27	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.19	10	-18	28	16.2	16.9	-0.69	16.7	15.0	1.65
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	62	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-21	34	15.4	19.4	-3.91	15.9	14.7	1.15
Drew Gooden	49	53	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-14	20	16.7	16.7	0.05	16.0	14.8	1.23
LeBron James	77	81	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-14	20	15.6	24.6	-9.08	15.5	15.2	0.34
Shannon Brown	3	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	24.7	16.4	8.25	11.5	15.7	-4.19
Daniel Gibson	62	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-6	4	15.1	20.4	-5.24	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Eric Snow	16	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	21.2	15.7	5.49	17.1	15.2	1.94
Ira Newble	17	16	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	2	-12	19.1	16.1	2.93	12.7	16.1	-3.34
Damon Jones	21	23	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	4	-16	19.8	15.7	4.09	15.7	15.5	0.20
Larry Hughes	63	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	10	-28	16.9	16.2	0.69	15.0	16.7	-1.65
Anderson Varejao	47	47	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.02	-23	15	-38	17.9	15.3	2.53	15.3	15.7	-0.47

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	42	42	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-6	20	15.5	15.5	-0.05	17.9	15.6	2.27
Vince Carter	80	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.25	14	-6	20	15.4	16.3	-0.87	16.7	16.8	-0.16
Darrell Armstrong	20	18	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-4	16	16.3	15.3	1.08	20.8	15.6	5.13
Jamaal Magloire	14	14	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	0	8	16.1	15.4	0.67	19.5	16.2	3.34
Sean Williams	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	-4	16	15.0	16.0	-0.96	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Antoine Wright	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	9	-10	16.1	15.1	0.97	18.2	15.6	2.67
Richard Jefferson	74	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	8	-8	15.2	16.8	-1.55	15.4	22.3	-6.87
Josh Boone	54	51	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.7	15.2	0.44	15.0	19.0	-3.98
Jason Kidd	71	70	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	10	-12	15.3	16.3	-1.08	15.6	20.8	-5.13
Jason Collins	9	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	14.7	15.6	-0.93	21.0	16.3	4.74
Malik Allen	11	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	19	-30	17.5	15.2	2.22	19.9	16.3	3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%
UTA 98, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,1	92.5%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	91.8%