inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 117 Excitement3.3 [1117] MVPJason Maxiell (DET): +12.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 91 Comeback1.1 [930] LVPCharlie Bell (MIL): -6.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.010.01776%0.1200.003100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.010.021365%0.1200.005100%0.02
Chauncey Billups0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.011069%0.133-0.056100%0.03
Jarvis Hayes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.04-0.00-0.07747%0.032-0.0010%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.011742%0.0100.002100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.04475%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.07980%0.0120.002100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04271%0.0000.003100%-0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01944%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.03333%-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00-0.051059%0.062-0.0020%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.01679%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01862%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01567%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05325%0.0010.0020%0.00
Awvee Storey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04283%0.0000.00250%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.01667%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00440%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.000.04762%0.013-0.06250%-0.01
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.020.03957%-0.033-0.03540%-0.03
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.04828%-0.042-0.02250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.726.115.726.22.831.0132.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +3.8%
DET +20.8%
DET +13.2%
DET +10.2%
DET +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game16.615.515.4131.5101.1105.7
season16.815.8108.8103.4
opponent15.215.8110.7101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.118.019.913.316.6
MIL17.314.716.114.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups56590.430.070.36-0.101881018.313.84.4416.114.51.62
Rasheed Wallace51530.380.120.25-0.061511418.214.53.6916.114.71.43
Tayshaun Prince44460.340.160.18-0.101511417.715.62.1516.714.32.35
Jason Maxiell49480.290.210.08-0.241881016.716.60.0316.414.61.74
Richard Hamilton46460.280.220.050.01917-818.115.13.0416.015.10.93
Arron Afflalo43440.220.28-0.05-0.27179815.118.1-3.0415.116.0-0.93
Antonio McDyess38400.220.28-0.05-0.04917-817.216.20.9515.715.40.23
Jarvis Hayes45440.160.34-0.18-0.161115-415.617.7-2.1514.316.7-2.35
Nazr Mohammed25250.110.39-0.28-0.06620-1415.117.2-2.1713.816.2-2.36
Lindsey Hunter980.060.44-0.380.03125-2416.716.60.0314.415.7-1.28
Ronald Murray24230.010.49-0.48-0.19719-1212.818.1-5.2714.515.9-1.37
Amir Johnson15140.000.50-0.50-0.12422-1812.517.5-5.0213.216.0-2.76

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Awvee Storey11110.00-0.500.500.06-2-242212.416.0-3.6212.017.3-5.29
Royal Ivey2626-0.01-0.490.470.19-7-191214.416.0-1.6313.318.0-4.71
Dan Gadzuric1414-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-221817.815.12.6515.916.8-0.93
Desmond Mason3435-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-221816.914.72.2018.415.52.85
Charlie Villanueva3737-0.15-0.350.200.35-17-9-815.115.9-0.8314.218.4-4.20
Charlie Bell4342-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-12-214.916.1-1.2714.918.2-3.33
Yi Jianlian3737-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-6-201416.514.91.6018.615.23.44
Andrew Bogut3939-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-8-181016.115.10.9419.114.74.38
Jake Voskuhl4240-0.26-0.24-0.020.18-15-11-414.716.2-1.5116.217.0-0.80
Bobby Simmons5654-0.35-0.15-0.200.29-22-4-1814.716.9-2.2015.518.4-2.85
Mo Williams5049-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-14-12-216.314.61.7018.214.83.39
Michael Redd6161-0.42-0.08-0.330.08-17-9-815.914.81.0618.013.64.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 104, TOR 830.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
MEM 119, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
DET 96, MEM 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%