inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 104 Excitement3.2 [1119] MVPSam Perkins (IND): +17.3%
Toronto Raptors 83 Comeback1.1 [671] LVPDoug Christie (TOR): -11.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Perkins0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.250.010.098122%0.1700.002100%0.01
Reggie Miller0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.031065%0.0600.0000%0.00
Travis Best0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01577%0.032-0.00367%-0.00
Dale Davis0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jalen Rose0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.03-0.00-0.051950%0.052-0.038100%0.02
Al Harrington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Bender0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zan Tabak0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Croshere-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011148%0.032-0.051100%0.00
Derrick McKey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rik Smits-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02475%0.044-0.07475%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.110,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.00-0.031118%-0.072-0.0400%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.13-0.000.041471%0.0900.006100%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.011361%0.093-0.072100%0.01
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02440%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04383%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01950%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01150%-0.0210.002100%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02933%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.021036%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0140%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.031125%-0.092-0.032100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.730.219.728.12.528.2133.6
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +35.5%
IND +5.1%
IND +4.3%
IND +3.2%
IND +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game14.617.015.2115.690.2101.7
season15.415.5106.5101.8
opponent14.915.1102.1101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.014.515.115.014.6
TOR17.217.516.217.117.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Rose79810.500.000.50-0.1522-12314.515.5-0.9417.315.02.26
Sam Perkins49500.440.060.39-0.2624-32715.114.01.0717.316.60.64
Dale Davis49500.410.090.33-0.03156914.215.2-1.0316.817.2-0.37
Reggie Miller69720.370.130.23-0.07156914.913.81.1416.518.7-2.19
Mark Jackson48510.330.170.15-0.03129314.115.2-1.1316.817.2-0.33
Travis Best38380.170.33-0.15-0.121011-115.613.91.6817.416.70.69
Al Harrington13120.110.39-0.280.11021-2113.314.9-1.5519.716.63.08
Austin Croshere35370.090.41-0.33-0.12714-716.113.72.3317.516.70.79
Rik Smits34360.060.44-0.390.06021-2114.614.7-0.1216.717.1-0.39
Derrick McKey23220.030.47-0.45-0.09417-1314.514.7-0.2115.717.4-1.66
Jonathan Bender650.000.50-0.500.03-122-2310.215.0-4.7915.217.1-1.89
Zan Tabak760.000.50-0.500.09-324-2711.614.9-3.3216.017.1-1.06

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alvin Williams670.00-0.500.50-0.093-242716.017.1-1.0611.614.9-3.32
John Thomas880.00-0.500.50-0.093-242716.917.0-0.1313.014.8-1.79
Michael Stewart1111-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-171316.917.0-0.0912.814.9-2.07
Dell Curry1315-0.07-0.430.360.16-8-13516.917.0-0.0815.014.60.44
Dee Brown2322-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-181516.217.2-1.0315.514.31.21
Muggsy Bogues3738-0.16-0.340.170.13-10-11117.416.70.7415.114.30.82
Doug Christie5756-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-7-716.717.4-0.6614.714.50.17
Kevin Willis4343-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-11117.616.41.2014.814.50.26
Vince Carter5753-0.29-0.21-0.090.03-11-10-116.517.7-1.1714.814.40.43
Antonio Davis6765-0.41-0.09-0.330.06-16-5-1116.817.4-0.6214.215.8-1.56
Charles Oakley6765-0.42-0.08-0.350.13-19-2-1717.316.30.9715.113.41.76
Tracy McGrady7167-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.00-16-5-1117.216.20.9714.515.1-0.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 94, ORL 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
MEM 91, NYK 750.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
TOR 113, ATL 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%