NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	5.1 [767]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +16.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.7 [693]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -11.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.05	0.03	12	76%	0.18	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
David West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	63%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	15	34%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.04	15	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	48%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.00	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	31.1	16.7	24.8	2.4	31.7	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.7%

LAC -8.0%

LAC -4.4%

NOH +12.3%

NOH +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	16.0	15.4	110.1	101.1	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		109.6	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.2	13.8	17.0	21.6	16.5
LAC	13.6	16.2	16.5	18.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	53	52	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-4	17	15.2	18.4	-3.14	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Chris Paul	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	1	7	15.9	18.6	-2.69	15.3	18.8	-3.46
David West	72	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	3	3	16.1	18.3	-2.20	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Peja Stojakovic	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	5	-1	16.8	15.2	1.58	15.3	19.1	-3.72
Tyson Chandler	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	16.3	16.8	-0.49	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Melvin Ely	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	3	3	16.7	16.3	0.40	16.3	15.8	0.56
Hilton Armstrong	10	9	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	2	5	13.3	16.9	-3.62	17.1	15.9	1.21
Jannero Pargo	19	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	8	-7	18.6	15.9	2.69	18.8	15.3	3.46
Rasual Butler	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	7	-5	18.2	15.8	2.31	18.3	15.1	3.24
Bobby Jackson	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	13	-17	18.4	15.2	3.14	16.4	15.7	0.71

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	13.1	17.0	-3.91	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Ruben Patterson	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-8	7	17.7	15.2	2.53	17.5	16.0	1.49
Dan Dickau	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	17.4	15.3	2.04	18.6	15.5	3.02
Al Thornton	21	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	18.9	15.1	3.72	18.0	16.0	2.06
Quinton Ross	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	15.3	18.5	-3.13	16.0	18.2	-2.17
Sam Cassell	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	15.3	17.4	-2.04	15.5	18.6	-3.02
Tim Thomas	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-9	9	15.6	17.7	-2.14	16.2	17.9	-1.72
Cuttino Mobley	86	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	0	-9	15.9	22.5	-6.63	16.5	17.0	-0.50
Chris Kaman	56	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	6	-21	16.9	14.6	2.29	17.2	15.3	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.2%
IND 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	94.0%
WAS 114, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%