NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	6.7 [442]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +20.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	93		Comeback	1.4 [789]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (SEA): -10.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21	0.09	0.13	0.01	22	55%	0.24	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	6	87%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Sean Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	40%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.11	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	58%	0.05	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	55%	0.13	4	-0.20	3	33%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	48%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	0.8	31.2	17.6	27.2	1.7	45.0	153.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.7%

SEA -2.9%

SEA -12.6%

NJN +26.3%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SEA	NBA	NJN	SEA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.4	104.3	96.9	105.7
season	15.4	14.5		101.8	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.5		107.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.6	15.3	19.1	15.7	16.1
SEA	15.4	13.5	15.2	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	82	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-5	15	16.2	14.9	1.32	14.3	14.2	0.05
Josh Boone	31	33	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-8	21	14.5	16.8	-2.36	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Jason Kidd	71	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	16.3	15.4	0.89	14.5	13.6	0.82
Antoine Wright	46	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	8	-11	16.2	15.9	0.26	14.4	14.1	0.35
Vince Carter	67	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	4	-3	15.9	16.4	-0.43	14.4	13.8	0.63
Bostjan Nachbar	35	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	1	3	16.0	16.1	-0.15	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Malik Allen	56	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	5	-5	16.2	15.8	0.46	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Eddie Gill	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	15.1	16.3	-1.25	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Jason Collins	43	41	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	5	-5	15.9	16.2	-0.33	15.8	13.1	2.64
Sean Williams	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	18.0	15.5	2.49	13.7	14.4	-0.72

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.32	11	-16	27	13.7	14.6	-0.83	16.8	15.6	1.22
Wally Szczerbiak	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	14.2	14.3	-0.11	16.7	15.8	0.89
Delonte West	61	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-11	17	14.2	14.4	-0.20	16.1	16.0	0.10
Jeff Green	67	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-11	17	14.0	14.9	-0.85	16.1	15.9	0.24
Earl Watson	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	6	-17	14.4	14.2	0.20	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Nick Collison	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	4	-13	14.8	13.5	1.28	16.4	15.6	0.73
Kevin Durant	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.0	14.9	-0.95	15.7	17.0	-1.37
Chris Wilcox	60	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	11	-27	14.6	13.7	0.83	15.8	16.5	-0.63
Damien Wilkins	71	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.20	-13	8	-21	14.4	13.9	0.47	15.7	17.0	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.29,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.08,0.33,0.08,0	93.6%
SAC 88, HOU 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0	93.5%
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%