NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	6.3 [525]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +33.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	3.9 [101]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -8.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.22	0.12	0.01	15	68%	0.33	1	-0.00	20	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	7	83%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	11	65%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Mo Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.01	15	53%	0.14	0	0.00	8	62%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	9	60%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.00	22	61%	0.24	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.05
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	15	76%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.0	14.8	31.6	2.0	43.0	149.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +12.3%

MIL +18.0%

MIL +10.6%

MIL +13.6%

CLE -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.4	122.0	115.1	105.7
season	15.8	16.4		103.4	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.1	12.4	17.0	16.8	15.7
CLE	14.9	17.6	17.3	12.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	53	54	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-3	10	15.7	15.8	-0.07	14.9	16.5	-1.69
Michael Redd	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-1	6	15.6	16.4	-0.82	15.3	16.8	-1.55
Mo Williams	79	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	7	-10	15.9	14.8	1.05	15.2	17.7	-2.52
Andrew Bogut	69	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	5	-6	15.8	15.7	0.09	15.3	16.6	-1.31
Bobby Simmons	38	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	3	-2	17.2	14.7	2.42	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Royal Ivey	30	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-6	16	13.5	16.9	-3.35	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Dan Gadzuric	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	1	2	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.6	15.3	1.31
Charlie Bell	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.06	5	-1	6	14.1	16.1	-1.97	19.3	14.8	4.42
Desmond Mason	46	46	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	7	-10	15.4	16.1	-0.63	16.4	14.8	1.60
Yi Jianlian	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	8	-12	17.7	14.9	2.89	16.5	15.2	1.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Jones	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-4	4	6.7	16.0	-9.21	22.0	15.5	6.47
Sasha Pavlovic	55	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-8	12	14.6	16.9	-2.35	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Daniel Gibson	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-5	6	15.5	15.8	-0.34	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Damon Jones	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	0	-4	14.1	16.3	-2.15	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Drew Gooden	61	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-5	6	16.2	14.2	2.00	16.1	14.9	1.20
Devin Brown	41	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	6	-16	17.2	14.3	2.88	16.0	15.6	0.40
Ira Newble	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	6	-16	16.6	14.5	2.12	15.8	15.7	0.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-4	4	15.3	16.2	-0.87	15.5	16.4	-0.85
LeBron James	85	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-2	0	15.5	16.1	-0.62	15.9	14.5	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.03,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 120, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0	93.5%
MIA 92, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%
MIL 95, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%