NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	3.6 [1058]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +9.0%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.1 [1060]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -7.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	46%	-0.00	4	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	17	49%	-0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.04	23	60%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	77%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	13	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	31.7	14.8	28.6	0.2	27.1	128.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +18.7%

WAS +6.5%

WAS +15.4%

WAS +11.7%

POR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	16.4	15.4	98.9	118.5	105.7
season	16.7	16.1		105.5	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		107.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.2	15.5	14.1	15.0
WAS	17.4	16.8	15.8	15.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	13.6	15.1	-1.57	14.1	16.7	-2.54
Sergio Rodriguez	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	13.8	15.1	-1.27	12.7	16.8	-4.04
Joel Przybilla	53	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-19	19	14.8	15.3	-0.46	17.2	15.4	1.75
Taurean Green	22	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	-6	-7	16.2	14.6	1.59	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Travis Outlaw	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-10	1	13.4	16.4	-3.00	15.2	17.6	-2.34
Jarrett Jack	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-13	7	14.0	16.0	-2.07	15.9	17.0	-1.13
Steve Blake	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-6	-7	15.5	14.1	1.40	17.6	14.3	3.30
Channing Frye	26	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-7	-5	16.9	14.3	2.66	17.1	16.2	0.88
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-5	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.04	16.8	15.0	1.80
Brandon Roy	66	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-1	-17	14.8	15.6	-0.85	16.0	17.5	-1.46
Martell Webster	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	-2	-15	16.0	13.5	2.50	17.0	15.6	1.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	-5	29	17.0	15.2	1.82	15.7	13.5	2.25
DeShawn Stevenson	40	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.30	25	-6	31	18.2	15.1	3.06	18.0	12.6	5.38
Caron Butler	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.31	25	-6	31	17.2	14.7	2.44	15.4	14.1	1.35
Antonio Daniels	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	1	17	16.7	15.0	1.71	14.8	16.4	-1.66
Brendan Haywood	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.27	18	1	17	18.4	14.8	3.56	16.6	13.7	2.92
Andray Blatche	52	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	19	-19	15.2	18.1	-2.93	13.8	16.7	-2.92
Roger Mason Jr.	41	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	15	-11	14.1	18.3	-4.24	13.5	16.2	-2.72
Darius Songaila	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	26	-33	15.7	17.0	-1.23	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Nick Young	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	27	-35	15.0	17.2	-2.18	13.2	15.9	-2.67
Dominic McGuire	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	14.1	16.7	-2.54	13.6	15.1	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ORL 108, CHA 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIN 72, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%