NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	7.2 [344]		MVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): +11.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	84		Comeback	2.6 [700]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -22.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.10	0.01	14	53%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.06
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	2	55%	0.05	2	-0.15	7	57%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	12	43%	-0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	18	36%	-0.10	5	-0.13	8	75%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.11	-0.10	0.01	12	43%	-0.11	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	13	46%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	39%	0.02	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	17	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.11	-0.04	16	36%	-0.05	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	30.7	16.4	28.5	2.4	40.5	143.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +58.6%

NYK -9.6%

NYK -24.3%

LAC +23.4%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	15.4	82.7	86.6	105.7
season	15.7	15.6		103.1	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	12.7	17.1	13.9	14.5
LAC	14.8	16.1	14.2	14.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-14	25	13.2	15.5	-2.24	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Jared Jeffries	13	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	15.7	14.3	1.35	12.8	15.3	-2.48
David Lee	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	0	-3	15.3	14.0	1.28	15.2	14.9	0.28
Eddy Curry	76	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-6	9	14.1	15.8	-1.67	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Nate Robinson	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	4	-11	15.4	14.0	1.37	15.2	14.9	0.33
Zach Randolph	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.6	12.8	2.73
Jamal Crawford	86	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	0	-3	14.6	14.1	0.50	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Quentin Richardson	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	11	-25	14.4	14.7	-0.26	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Stephon Marbury	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-3	3	14.2	15.2	-0.93	15.2	14.7	0.48

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	69	71	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-9	21	14.2	17.1	-2.98	14.1	15.7	-1.63
Quinton Ross	49	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-4	11	14.7	15.4	-0.70	15.3	13.8	1.53
Chris Kaman	79	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-2	7	14.6	16.8	-2.23	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Tim Thomas	67	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	-1	5	14.7	15.6	-0.89	14.6	14.4	0.15
Cuttino Mobley	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.46	-7	10	-17	15.3	14.7	0.62	14.6	14.4	0.24
Sam Cassell	59	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-3	9	15.0	15.0	-0.01	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Brevin Knight	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	6	-9	15.0	15.0	0.01	15.7	13.8	1.90
Al Thornton	34	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	3	-3	15.9	14.6	1.28	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Ruben Patterson	13	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	4	-5	17.2	14.7	2.46	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Aaron Williams	23	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	11	-19	17.5	14.3	3.22	14.0	14.7	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.77,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.92,1	93.5%
NJN 85, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
NJN 97, SEA 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.92,1	92.8%