NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	6.4 [502]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): +14.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	2.8 [691]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -21.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	20	63%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	0.00	12	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sherman Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	15	48%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.03	-0.01	12	14%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.02	8	94%	0.20	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	11	70%	0.13	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.07	0.00	17	45%	0.09	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	64%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.8	1.7	28.2	16.4	25.4	1.7	35.4	145.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +52.0%

SEA +10.3%

SEA +8.2%

NJN -21.6%

SEA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SEA	NBA	NJN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	101.0	110.4	100.9
season	15.5	15.2		97.8	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	14.0	16.6	15.3	15.4
SEA	12.8	15.4	14.7	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	16	17	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-11	13	15.5	15.3	0.17	18.1	13.9	4.15
Sherman Douglas	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-9	9	16.0	15.0	0.94	16.3	13.8	2.50
Johnny Newman	65	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-13	17	14.4	17.3	-2.81	15.6	12.6	2.95
Kenyon Martin	65	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-7	5	15.0	16.1	-1.10	13.3	17.4	-4.14
Stephon Marbury	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-8	7	14.9	17.3	-2.45	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Stephen Jackson	34	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	15.4	15.3	0.13	15.5	14.2	1.37
Lucious Harris	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.4	15.3	0.02	13.5	16.4	-2.91
Keith Van Horn	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	3	-15	16.8	12.6	4.23	15.0	14.0	1.03
Aaron Williams	69	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	9	-27	15.4	15.3	0.08	13.7	17.0	-3.28

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	60	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-8	25	13.5	16.5	-2.97	15.4	15.2	0.22
Brent Barry	83	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	0	9	14.1	18.0	-3.88	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Gary Payton	83	83	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	14.6	15.2	-0.59	14.9	18.5	-3.68
Desmond Mason	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	17.2	13.6	3.68	17.0	14.7	2.37
Rashard Lewis	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	2	5	13.7	16.7	-3.04	14.8	16.6	-1.86
Shammond Williams	26	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	16.6	13.9	2.65	17.0	14.7	2.24
Ruben Patterson	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	8	-7	14.1	15.9	-1.87	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Jelani McCoy	20	21	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	3	3	17.0	14.0	2.97	16.6	15.0	1.56
Vin Baker	48	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	17	-25	15.6	13.6	2.00	15.1	15.6	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.1%
MIN 78, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
MIL 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%