NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	2.8 [1197]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +14.9%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.3 [1162]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): -7.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	87%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Andre Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	53%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.05	6	36%	0.00	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.01	0.06	20	67%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.00	-0.05	14	67%	0.12	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.02	0.06	9	89%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Almond	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	28.4	15.7	30.0	1.8	31.0	132.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.4%

UTA +5.9%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +22.7%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	15.4	92.2	115.7	105.7
season	14.9	15.5		103.3	111.2
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.0	13.9	13.2	14.2
UTA	14.5	12.3	14.3	15.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-22	20	12.8	14.7	-1.91	14.8	13.7	1.03
Andre Brown	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-22	20	9.9	14.9	-4.97	14.5	13.9	0.60
Casey Jacobsen	41	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-25	26	12.5	15.4	-2.93	14.8	13.5	1.31
Stromile Swift	27	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-24	24	14.0	14.3	-0.34	12.8	14.5	-1.64
Damon Stoudamire	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-16	8	15.5	13.8	1.68	14.2	14.0	0.25
Kyle Lowry	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-18	12	14.8	14.0	0.85	13.6	14.2	-0.52
Juan Carlos Navarro	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-17	10	13.3	15.0	-1.67	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Mike Conley	49	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-14	4	13.2	15.1	-1.91	14.1	13.9	0.24
Rudy Gay	61	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.29	-22	-2	-20	14.9	13.2	1.71	14.1	13.9	0.28
Mike Miller	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.20	-20	-4	-16	15.3	12.5	2.78	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Pau Gasol	55	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-5	-14	15.4	12.8	2.57	13.7	14.4	-0.63
Darko Milicic	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.29	-25	1	-26	14.8	12.7	2.10	14.2	13.5	0.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.36	26	-2	28	14.5	12.6	1.88	14.5	13.4	1.06
Deron Williams	77	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	2	20	13.6	15.4	-1.78	15.0	11.8	3.15
Carlos Boozer	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	7	10	14.4	13.3	1.09	14.7	13.3	1.44
Mehmet Okur	50	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.26	21	3	18	13.8	14.2	-0.39	14.4	14.1	0.28
Gordan Giricek	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	10	4	13.2	14.8	-1.53	14.5	13.9	0.56
Ronnie Brewer	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	15	-6	14.4	13.7	0.75	14.8	13.8	0.99
Jarron Collins	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	20	-16	14.2	13.9	0.26	13.4	14.7	-1.22
Jason Hart	19	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	23	-22	14.7	13.9	0.88	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Paul Millsap	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	18	-12	13.6	14.5	-0.86	14.0	14.5	-0.47
CJ Miles	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	26	-28	12.6	14.5	-1.88	13.4	14.5	-1.06
Morris Almond	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	17.3	13.8	3.52	7.7	14.6	-6.96
Ronnie Price	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	17.3	13.8	3.52	7.7	14.6	-6.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 87, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIA 102, DEN 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%