NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	2.7 [1226]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +14.3%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.4 [988]		LVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): -8.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	9	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	5	87%	0.01	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	16	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	19	40%	-0.00	4	-0.05	14	79%	0.02
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	15	55%	0.01	7	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	53%	-0.01	4	-0.07	3	67%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.03	19	62%	0.17	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.02	3	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	31%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Glen Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	17	58%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	33.3	18.6	33.5	2.8	34.5	151.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.0%

WAS -2.0%

BOS +3.2%

BOS +11.6%

BOS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.4	84.7	106.2	105.7
season	16.1	15.6		106.8	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.3	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	15.0	13.8	12.0	14.1
BOS	15.0	13.8	15.0	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	13.1	14.2	-1.10	17.7	15.2	2.55
Nick Young	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.13	4	-24	28	10.9	15.5	-4.60	15.9	15.2	0.69
Roger Mason Jr.	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-18	16	10.2	14.6	-4.45	15.1	15.4	-0.35
Andray Blatche	12	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-12	4	13.7	14.2	-0.44	16.4	15.2	1.19
Caron Butler	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-11	2	14.8	12.5	2.29	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	67	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-5	-10	14.7	12.8	1.94	14.2	17.9	-3.77
DeShawn Stevenson	71	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-2	-16	14.6	13.0	1.61	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Darius Songaila	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-9	-2	13.3	15.0	-1.73	16.3	14.5	1.83
Antonio Daniels	15	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.13	-16	-4	-12	14.7	14.0	0.71	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Gilbert Arenas	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-10	0	14.4	12.8	1.58	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Antawn Jamison	76	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.07	-14	-6	-8	14.7	12.1	2.57	16.1	13.2	2.93

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	77	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.16	20	0	20	15.8	14.0	1.72	14.3	13.3	1.05
Eddie House	34	32	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	11	-2	15.1	15.6	-0.45	12.8	14.8	-1.96
Brian Scalabrine	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	8	4	16.6	14.6	1.98	14.2	14.1	0.20
Kevin Garnett	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	4	12	15.1	16.7	-1.66	14.6	12.3	2.29
Ray Allen	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	4	12	15.1	16.7	-1.66	14.6	12.3	2.29
Tony Allen	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	13	-6	15.5	15.3	0.20	12.5	15.0	-2.47
Scot Pollard	18	19	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	11	-2	16.0	15.3	0.72	13.4	14.3	-0.95
Kendrick Perkins	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	17	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.14	14.4	13.8	0.66
Rajon Rondo	65	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	10	0	15.2	15.8	-0.55	14.4	13.5	0.86
Glen Davis	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	14.7	15.5	-0.79	12.4	14.2	-1.83
Leon Powe	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	14.7	15.5	-0.79	12.4	14.2	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DEN 70, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ATL 98, HOU 127	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%