NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	2.6 [1176]		MVP	Sam Mack (HOU): +12.9%
Houston Rockets	127		Comeback	1.4 [807]		LVP	Jon Barry (ATL): -8.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	19	67%	0.13	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	75%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Henry James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	7	87%	0.13	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	12	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	11	73%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	2	100%	0.04	3	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	73%	0.08	5	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	73%	0.05	5	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.5	25.5	16.4	24.8	1.8	26.0	119.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.7%

HOU +1.3%

HOU +11.9%

ATL -5.2%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.6	98.0	129.6	104.4
season	16.4	15.5		105.3	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.0		103.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	16.9	15.8	11.7	14.8
HOU	15.4	14.4	14.2	13.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Priest Lauderdale	19	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	10.7	15.7	-4.95	12.9	14.7	-1.79
Donnie Boyce	19	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	10.7	15.7	-4.95	12.9	14.7	-1.79
Ivano Newbill	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	11.4	15.3	-3.86	11.5	14.8	-3.31
Eldridge Recasner	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-29	29	11.3	16.2	-4.98	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Dikembe Mutombo	61	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.31	-19	-10	-9	16.0	12.7	3.33	15.2	12.9	2.36
Mookie Blaylock	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	-13	-3	15.6	13.0	2.66	15.1	12.8	2.31
Alan Henderson	44	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-16	3	13.5	15.7	-2.23	14.7	14.1	0.66
Jon Barry	44	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	-10	-9	14.1	15.3	-1.18	12.9	15.4	-2.42
Steven Smith	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.31	-24	-5	-19	15.4	13.2	2.21	14.8	13.1	1.77
Henry James	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.32	-26	-3	-23	16.3	11.5	4.78	14.4	14.2	0.22
Christian Laettner	64	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	0	-29	16.3	12.0	4.30	14.5	14.0	0.56

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.45	31	-2	33	14.3	14.4	-0.13	15.3	14.3	0.94
Brent Price	37	37	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.26	24	5	19	13.6	14.8	-1.15	15.5	14.3	1.25
Sam Mack	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	11	7	13.7	15.2	-1.50	13.5	16.5	-2.95
Matt Bullard	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	10	9	14.5	14.0	0.50	15.6	13.6	1.91
Othella Harrington	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	18	-7	12.7	15.2	-2.52	13.0	15.6	-2.61
Hakeem Olajuwon	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	20	-11	15.6	13.3	2.34	16.7	13.1	3.56
Mario Elie	49	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	18	-7	15.2	13.5	1.65	16.0	13.5	2.51
Charles Barkley	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.19	12	17	-5	15.0	13.5	1.56	15.5	13.9	1.57
Randy Livingston	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	21	-13	13.5	14.8	-1.33	13.1	15.6	-2.56
Matt Maloney	44	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	21	-13	15.5	13.4	2.07	15.7	14.0	1.75
Tracy Moore	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	12.9	14.6	-1.69	10.7	15.6	-4.91
Joe Stephens	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	12.9	14.6	-1.69	10.7	15.6	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 70, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 79, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 95, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%